Saturday, January 8, 2022

Winter '21 / '22 - Snow Storm #1: Preliminary STP Verification

Accumulation-weighted SN:H20 (SLR)

UPDATE 1/8 @ 1:15 PM EST:  fixed snow totals for IAD ... BGM.  Thanks to 'anonymous' in comments for the eagle-eye. 

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Preliminary verification of storm-total snowfalls for THU from CDUS41 (CLI) ... CXUS51 (CF6) ... METARs ... and PNS bulletins.  Excellent coverage and reporting.

HYA
STP estimated from one report carried by BOSPNS within 2.2 SM of the station.  Station did not carry 6-and 7-group data.

SLR not reported for some stations with measurable snowfall b/c significant liquid and / or freezing precipitation also occurred during the verification period.

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Stations observing >= Trace:  25 (93%)
Given stations with measurable snowfall ... stations observing at least:
4" - 14 (42%)
6" - 5 (19%)
8" - 2 (7%)

Max snow melt-water (minimum SLR 10:1)
ORH: 0.52"
BOS:  0.48"
BDL:  0.44"

Max precipitation (frozen + freezing + liquid):
ORH: 0.52"
BOS:  0.48"
BDL:  0.44"

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New daily record(s)
None

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Storm total snowfall
Image courtesy NOHRSC

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SFC analysis:  09z ... 07-JAN-21
Image courtesy DOC / NOAA / NWS / NCEP / WPC

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Please report any errors in Comments along with a link to the correct data.
FINAL results expected NLT SUN evening.

9 comments:

Anonymous said...

Check IAD (4.0" in CF6 and CLI) and BGM (1.6" 7th + 0.2" 6th if that counts).

Anonymous said...

2.4" MDT rather than 5.5" (that was monthly total)

Anonymous said...

MDT is correct at 5.5" (3.1" fell on 1/6 and 2.4" fell on 1/7).

IAD should be 4.0" (the early climate daily summary showed 4.5", but the final one shows 4.0")

BGM should be 1.8" (0.2" fell on 1/6 and 1.6" fell on 1/7).

CAR should be 1.9" (latest climate summary)

BDR should be 8.6" (0.2" fell on 1/6 and 8.4" fell on 1/7).

TQ said...

thx for the qc. i have excel set to 'manual' v. 'automatic' calculations. forgot to refresh to update totals before posting.

the forecast totals were to include 1/6 snowfall

IAD - fixed
MDT - ok
BGM - fixed (refreshed calculation)
CAR - 1/6 0.1"; 1/7 1.9" (cli; cf6)
BDR - ok. cli and cf6 both show 1/6 0" and 1/7 8.4" do you have a link for bdr showing 0.2" on 1/6? i know the pns value differed from the both climate reports.

Anonymous said...

Anonymous likes your MDT decision. Anonymous should have noticed that. -- Anonymous. :)

Don said...

Xmacis shows 8.4” at Bridgeport.

—Don

TQ said...

thx for the confirmation at BDR Don. if you're following along at home then you know how well you did!

Don said...

With the exception of BDR, I think I did fairly well. In any case, I enjoyed the snowfall.

https://i.postimg.cc/5NJfhb0L/Larchmont01072022-3.jpg

Have a great evening and stay well,

Don

Don said...

Photo is from my neighborhood walk.