Winter '21 / '22 - Snow Storm #2: FINAL Results and Storm Summary
Complete forecaster verification table and the FINAL Results / Storm Summary available at NEWxSFC/s home page.
SUMSQ: sum of square error (")SUMSQ Z: Z-score
STP: storm total precipitation error (")
TAE: total absolute error (")
AAE: average absolute error (")
(#): category rank
Forecast by Observed Snowfall Scatterplots for Top Forecasts
Forecast/s dotted blue line below (above) the Observed snowfall/s solid red line ==> under (over) forecast bias.
Station by Station Comparison of Top 4 Forecasts and Observed Storm-total Snowfall
Forecast bias (average over/under per station) and skill score v. NWS ER WFOs.For example ... Shillelagh's bias was on average a 1" under-forecast The forecast was a 47% improvement over NWS ER WFOs.
2 comments:
Thanks TQ! I persevered despite KSYR getting the 850 mb punch in the warm nose....
storm 2 made for a tough forecast what with the occluding parent LOW and its multiple spawn scattered hither and yon ...
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