Winter '14 / '15 - Season-total Snowfall Forecast Contest: JAN Totals
Monthly station snowfall summary for JAN-15.
Rank ordered by percent of monthly normal.
Green ==> 75th percentile
White ==> Less than 75th and greater than 25th percentileRed ==> 25th percentile
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Teleconnection Indexes
AO: +1.092NAO: +1.79
PNA: +0.14
PDO: +2.45 (monthly record)
QBO: -26.70 (monthly record)
MEI: +0.406 (DEC-JAN)
Posts
2 comments:
Just FYI, these are the reported seasonal snowfall totals to Feb 17starting from Dec 1 as per the contest ... the amounts in brackets are required to reach our consensus and where negative (and **) represent already achieved surplus over our consensus (BOS, ORH, PVD)
CAR _68.1 (48.9)
BGR _74.6 ( 9.9)
PWM _69.3 ( 8.4)
CON _64.0 (10.8)
BTV _61.0 (24.9)
BOS _93.7 **(-39.9)**
ORH _95.9 **(-28.6)**
PVD _53.2 **(-10.5)**
BDL _41.7 ( 9.9)
BDR _36.6 ( 1.5)
NYC _24.2 (11.4)
ALB _56.5 (12.9)
BGM _57.4 (17.7)
EWR _23.8 (11.4)
ACY _11.4 (11.0)
ABE _22.8 (19.5)
MDT _19.2 (20.2)
PHL _10.2 (23.9)
BWI _12.9 (14.7)
SBY _ 8.5 ( 7.3)
DCA _ 8.4 (14.2)
IAD _13.3 (14.7)
RIC _ 7.5 ( 9.1)
ORF _ 4.8 ( 5.6)
RDU _ 1.0 ( 7.7)
BOS and ORH have already exceeded our max forecasts which were 72.0 and 88.0 -- next likely to fall would be PVD at 68.0.
-- Roger Smith
At the rate we're going ... some of those deficits won't be hard to erase.
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