CONTEST STATUS - Updated: SAT ... 11-APR-20 @ 8:30 PM EST

Winter '19 / '20 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
21st Annual 'Snow Storm' Snowfall Forecast Contest
Season ended as quickly as it started.
No winner this go'round ... too few storms (minimum of three required)

Snow Storm #1 (01-DEC-19)
FINAL Results here

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19th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest
FINAL Results here

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Winter '18 / '19 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
20th Annual 'Snow Storm' Snowfall Forecast Contest
FINAL Results here

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18th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest
FINAL Results here
Forecaster verification table here

Saturday, April 11, 2009

Final Results - 10th Annual Regular Season Snowfall Forecast Contest

8 Storms
683” Total Snowfall
2,353 Station Forecasts

25 Forecasters
6 Rookies
3 Interns
4 Journeymen
12 Seniors

Don Sutherland has successfully defended his 'Chief Forecaster' title for the second year in a row by winning handily the 10th Annual NE.Wx Snowfall Forecast Contest.

Don/s final scores:
AVG SUMSQ Z-score: -1.025
AVG Total Absolute Error Z-score: -1.171
AVG Error: 1.37"

The award for placing first is a copy of the two-volume set Northeast Snowstorms by Kocin / Uccellini and three (3) months of free access to StormVista GOLD

Second place goes to Shanabe...
Shanabe/s final scores:
AVG SUMSQ Z-score: -0.743
AVG Total Absolute Error Z-score: -0.765
AVG Error: 1.62"
Shanabe/s prize is two (2) months of free access to StormVista GOLD

Donald Rosenfeld finished in third place...
Donald Rosenfeld final scores:
AVG SUMSQ Z-score: -0.737
AVG Total Absolute Error Z-score: -0.660
AVG Error: 1.56"
Donald Rosenfeld/s prize is one (1) month of free access to StormVista GOLD

Honorable Mention: Raven
Raven/s final scores:
AVG SUMSQ Z-score: -0.564
AVG Total Absolute Error Z-score: -0.438
AVG Error: 1.83"

Complete results and season summary @ the web site.

Many thanks to Jack @ StormVista for his generous contribution of prizes to the top forecaster after each storm and again at season/s end.

Thanks also...to everyone who entered a forecast. Hope you enjoyed the many challenges and we look forward to seeing y'all again next winter.

Saturday, April 4, 2009

Final Results - 8th Annual Season-total Snowfall Forecast Contest

Everyone/s forecast has been verified. The final results summary and verifications are available here.

Not a bad season overall. Sum-total snowfall was ~10% above normal.

Thanks to all who entered. Hope to see y'all again next year.

Graphic: Monthly 500 mb geo-height anomalies (D-J-F-M)

Thursday, April 2, 2009

Update - 8th Annual Season-total Snowfall Forecast Contest

The last day of March marked the end of the season-total snowfall forecasting season.

The four-month snowfall totals have been tallied...the forecasts have been scored... and the final results will be posted this weekend.

The sum-total snowfall for all 25 stations was 1,010"...about 10% above normal...and just shy of last year/s 1,039" snow-total.