CONTEST STATUS - Updated: SAT ... 11-APR-20 @ 8:30 PM EST

Winter '19 / '20 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
21st Annual 'Snow Storm' Snowfall Forecast Contest
Season ended as quickly as it started.
No winner this go'round ... too few storms (minimum of three required)

Snow Storm #1 (01-DEC-19)
FINAL Results here

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19th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest
FINAL Results here

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Winter '18 / '19 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
20th Annual 'Snow Storm' Snowfall Forecast Contest
FINAL Results here

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18th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest
FINAL Results here
Forecaster verification table here

Saturday, April 5, 2008

We Have A Winner!

8 Storms
26 Forecasters
10 Rookies
2 Interns
3 Journeyman
11 Senior
2,072 Station Forecasts
560” Total Snowfall

Don Sutherland has successfully defended his Chief Forecaster title by winning handily the 9th Annual NE.Wx Snowfall Forecast Contest.

Don/s final scores:
AVG SUMSQ Z-score: -1.165
AVG Total Absolute Error Z-score: -1.175
AVG Error: 1.3"

Don wins a copy of the book New England Weather New England Climate...by Gregory Zielinski and Barry Keim and one month of FREE access to StormVista GOLD.

Second place goes to Raven...last year/s Chief Season-total forecaster.
Raven/s final scores:
AVG SUMSQ Z-score: -0.685
AVG Total Absolute Error Z-score: -0.516
AVG Error: 1.8"

TQ finished in third place.
TQ/s final scores:
AVG SUMSQ Z-score: -0.679
AVG Total Absolute Error Z-score: -0.980
AVG Error: 1.5"

Honorable Mention: shanabe
Shanabe/s final scores:
AVG SUMSQ Z-score: -0.646
AVG Total Absolute Error Z-score: -0.562
AVG Error: 1.6"

Contest summary @ the web site.

Thanks to everyone who entered a forecast. Hope to see y'all again next winter.

Tuesday, April 1, 2008

7th Annual Season-total Snowfall Forecast Contest - Results

Rookie forecaster Duke kc2dux won the 7th Annual NE.Wx/s Season-total Snowfall Forecast Contest. Duke/s 'total absolute error' of 314" was a 32% improvement over the 'period of record normal (PORN) error of 463".

The season was notable for its heavy snowfall over northern portions of the forecast area where 1/3 of the stations exceeded their PORN snowfall. Snowfall at Concord, NH (CON) and Caribou, ME (CAR) between DEC 1 and MAR 31 was almost twice PORN.

Second place goes to NE.Wx/s Bridesmaid for Life shanabe (error = 332").

Don Sutherland finished in third place (error = 341").

Perfect forecasts:
BOS - Toms92GP* and pablopicasso*
ORH - NNEWX70*
NYC - Steve Okonski
ACY - shanabe

Complete station-by-station forecast verification table and contest summary @ the web site.

Thanks to everyone who entered. Hope to see all of you again next winter.

The Regular Season contest season is coming to a close. MR progs got nothin'. Final results coming soon.