CONTEST STATUS - Updated: SUN ... 10-JAN-21 @ 3:45 PM EST

Winter '20 / '21 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
22nd Annual 'Snow Storm' Snowfall Forecast Contest

Snow Storm #2
Synoptiscope in VCP 32

Snow Storm #1
FINAL Results here

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20th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest
Deadline for entries has passed.
The Forecasts! here
DEC Snowfall Totals here

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Winter '19 / '20 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
21st Annual 'Snow Storm' Snowfall Forecast Contest
Season ended as quickly as it started.
No winner this go'round ... too few storms (minimum of three required)

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19th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest
FINAL Results here

Sunday, January 10, 2021

Winter '20 / '21 - 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest: DEC Totals

DEC-20 snowfall summary by forecast station.
Rank ordered descending by percent of monthly period-of-record-normal (P-O-R-N).

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Green ==> 75th - 100th percentile
White ==> less than 75th and greater than 25th percentile (inter-quartile range)
Red ==> 0 - 25th percentile

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DEC Forecast Station Highlights
15 stations above normal monthly snowfall
5 stations at least 200% of monthly normal

BGM
30" above normal
68% of its normal season-total snowfall

CON
53% of its normal season-total snowfall

ALB
47% of its normal season-total snowfall

Biggest Losers
RDU ... DCA ... ACY ... and ORF observed less than 10% of normal monthly snowfall

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Season-Total-to-Date

DEC P-O-R-N contributes 203.3" (22%) toward the season-total snowfall (D-J-F-M) of 929".
DEC-20 observed snowfall:  292" (44% above P-O-R-N; 31% of season-total snowfall)

Image courtesy NOHRSC @ http://www.nohrsc.noaa.gov/nsa/

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Teleconnections

AO / NAO / PNA data

Saturday, January 2, 2021

Winter '20 / '21 - Coastal Teaser #1

UPDATE02-JAN-21 @ 9 AM EST
Not happenin' ...

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UPDATE
:  01-JAN-21 @ 6:41 PM EST

Today/s 12z / 18z progs suggest too few stations in play for a contest-worthy snow storm.

Will evaluate 00z / 06z runs just in case ...

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Originally posted:  31-DEC-20 @ 6:41 PM EST

Cyclogenesis progged early this weekend in the Gulf of Mexico on the trailing end of a cold front attending FRI/s storm moving NE through the Mid-West ... Great Lakes ... and New England may turn into a long duration contest-worthy snow storm for the northern half of the forecast area come SUN.

Should the present trend in NWP output continue ...

Call for Forecasts:  FRI ... 01-JAN-21
Deadline for entries:  10 PM EST ... SAT ... 02-JAN-21
Verification period:  12:01 AM EST ... SUN ... 03-JAN-21 till flakes stop accumulating

Watch this space ...