Sunday, April 03, 2011

Winter '10 / '11 - Snow Storm #8 - Preliminary Verification

Preliminary storm-total snowfalls for Friday and Saturday from CDUS41 and CXUS51...as of 9 AM Sunday.

Some stations in the data table do not have SN:H2O reported b/c their totals included mixed precipitation.

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Two daily records.

SAT...01-Mar-11
BGR - 14.4" (8.5"; 1993)
CAR - 7.5" (3.6"; 1978)

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Please report any errors and drop a link to the correct data in Comments.

Final results and storm summary Monday evening.

Saturday, April 02, 2011

Winter '10 / '11 - Snow Storm #8 - The Forecasts

7 forecasters

1 Rookie
2 Interns
0 Journeymen
4 Seniors

Seven is the minimum number of forecasts for the results to be included in Interim and End-of-Season standings.

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All forecasts have been posted to the Contest's home page.

Entries are ranked in ascending order by 'storm-total' snowfall.
Please check you entry for accuracy.


Usual range of expected storm-total snowfalls...
Min: 56" (Donald Rosenfeld)
Max: 119" (Roger Smith)
Avg: 70"
Median: 57"
STD: 22"


Consensus heavy snowfall axis from ORH - PWM - BGR - CAR - ORH.

Final results and storm summary early Sunday evening.

Thursday, March 31, 2011

Winter '10 / '11 - Snow Storm #8 - Raw Forecasts

Raw forecasts here.
Formatted forecasts and summary will be posted on Saturday.

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Forecasters who are COMCAST subscribers may not have received a copy of their entry b/c COMCAST blocked the e-mail as SPAM.

Wednesday, March 30, 2011

Winter '10 / '11 - Snow Storm #8 - Call for Forecasts

Farm by Léonard Misonne
In what will in all likelihood be this winter/s last contest-worthy hurrah...a pokey...yet potent...nor'easter is poised to put down plenty-o-snow over northern forecast stations.

The contest may be canceled prior to the deadline if NWP indicates a fizzling event.

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Deadline for entries: 10:30 PM EDT THU...31-MAR-11
Forecast element: storm-total snowfall

Verification period begins: 12:01 AM FRI...01-APR-11
Verification period ends: 11:59 PM SAT...02-APR-11

Enter your forecast at the Contest's home page here.
Follow the link from 'Enter Storm Forecast.'

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As always...there/s no cost...or fee...or advertising...or annoying requests for personal information to enter a forecast. It's just a fun exercise among winter wx enthusiasts to see who can make the best synoptic-scale snowfall forecast.

If you are issuing your first forecast this winter...or you entered the 'season-total' forecast contest...you/ll need to create an account (user name / password / valid e-mail...if you want a copy of your forecast sent to your Inbox).

Wednesday, March 09, 2011

Saturday, March 05, 2011

Winter '10 / '11 - Snow Storm #8 - Call for Forecasts - CANCELED

Contest 8/s 'Call for Forecasts' has been canceled.

Too warm aloft.
Too many stations expected to measure too little snow.

Winter '10 / '11 - Snow Storm #8 - Call for Forecasts

Carmine St...Greenwich Village...NYC
19-MAR-56
Ratty-looking early spring storm over northern New England...as depicted by today/s 12z GooFuS...appears to have enough snow on the northwest edge of the precipitation shield to be a contest-worthy event.

The contest may be canceled prior to the deadline if NWP indicates a fizzling event.

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Deadline for entries: 10:30 PM EST SAT...05-MAR-11
Forecast element: storm-total snowfall

Verification period begins: 12:01 AM SUN...06-MAR-11
Verification period ends: 11:59 PM MON...07-MAR-11

Enter your forecast at the Contest's home page here.
Follow the link from 'Enter Storm Forecast.'

---
As always...there/s no cost...or fee...or advertising...or annoying requests for personal information to enter a forecast. It's just a fun exercise among winter wx enthusiasts to see who can make the best synoptic-scale snowfall forecast.

If you are issuing your first forecast this winter...or you entered the 'season-total' forecast contest...you/ll need to create an account (user name / password / valid e-mail...if you want a copy of your forecast sent to your Inbox).

Want to be notified via e-mail when a 'Call for Forecasts' is issued?
Send your request to newx at newx-forecasts dot com.

Friday, February 25, 2011