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Winter '16 / '17 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
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Wednesday, November 29, 2006

Coastal Teaser

A-H-H, come to Papa!

And please...don't make me beg for what could be the season's 1st Contest storm.

DISCUSSION: Lo-latitude open wave progged to form off SE coast following cold fropa in the E this weekend. GooFuS and GEM bring a rapidly deepening LOW up the coast but keep it SE of 40/70 benchmark.

NWP spawns the LOW in preferred region during el Nino years. Eastern extension of strong, parent HIGH centered over northern Plains has arctic origins, so baroclinicity would be favorable. Upper trof is initially progressive except for a brief period where it digs in its heels and the GL LOW all but captures the ATL LOW keeping SFC feature close to coast.

Still plenty-o-time for this teaser to vanish into the ether or wisk into open waters...although don't discount the fact it's forecast to happen on December 5th.

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