October's ENSO Anomaly Forecast - Winter '07 - '08

Latest CFS forecast for ENSO Region 3.4 SST anomaly of ~-1.6°C continues trend from previous model runs for La Nina conditions to be well established this winter. Each run has been stronger than the last. The current forecast for a 'strong' La Nina reflects a 1°C difference from last summer/s 'weak' forecast.


Previous DJF forecast values (°C)
April -0.6
May -0.6
June -0.8
July -0.9
August -1.1

Latest monthly temperature and precipitation anomalies reflect the model/s La Nina forecast for warm and dry in the SE.