CONTEST STATUS - Updated: THU ... 17-SEP-15 @ 8:30 PM EDT

Winter '15 / '16 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
17th Annual 'Regular Season'
Contests start when the flakes start flying'!

15th Annual 'Season-total'
Deadline for entries: 30-NOV-15
Details on or about 01-NOV-15

Winter '15 / '16 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
16th Annual 'Regular Season'

FINAL Standings here
Forecaster summary data here

14th Annual 'Season-total'
FINAL results here

Saturday, March 23, 2013

Winter '12 / '13 - Interim Standings 4

Under the ‘two-thirds’ rule…forecasters who have entered at least four forecasts are included in this season/s third Interim Standings.

SUMSQ errors for each contest storm are normalized with a 'Z-score'...then compute the standings.  Lower (higher) average Z-scores indicate more (less) skillful forecasts.

If a forecaster has participated in more than two-thirds of all contests...then Z-scores from their 'best two-thirds' forecasts are used to calculate Interim and Final standings. More or less the same idea as dropping the lowest quiz score(s) before the final grade is computed.

Complete table of Interim stats by Forecaster at the Contest/s web site here.
Forecaster summary storm data set here.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Wonder when it ends?