CONTEST STATUS - Updated: TUE ... 03-MAR-15 @ 6:50 PM EST

Winter '14 / '15 - Snowfall Forecast Contests

---
16th Annual 'Regular Season'

Interim Standings ... as of Storm #6 here

STORM #7
Call for Forecasts!
Deadline for entries: 10:30 PM EST ... WED ... 04-Mar-15
Verification period begins: 12:01 AM EST ... THU ... 05-MAR-15
Details here

STORM #6 (16/17-FEB-15)
FINAL results here

---
14th Annual 'Season-total'
Forecasts here.
.

Saturday, March 23, 2013

Winter '12 / '13 - Interim Standings 4



Under the ‘two-thirds’ rule…forecasters who have entered at least four forecasts are included in this season/s third Interim Standings.

SUMSQ errors for each contest storm are normalized with a 'Z-score'...then averaged...to compute the standings.  Lower (higher) average Z-scores indicate more (less) skillful forecasts.

If a forecaster has participated in more than two-thirds of all contests...then Z-scores from their 'best two-thirds' forecasts are used to calculate Interim and Final standings. More or less the same idea as dropping the lowest quiz score(s) before the final grade is computed.

---
Complete table of Interim stats by Forecaster at the Contest/s web site here.
Forecaster summary storm data set here.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Wonder when it ends?