CONTEST STATUS - Updated: SAT ... 14-APR-18 @ 9 PM EDT

Winter '17 / '18 - Snowfall Forecast Contests

19th Annual 'Regular Season' Snowfall Forecast Contest
- FINAL Results here
1st Place: Brad Yehl
2nd Place: Don Sutherland
3rd Place: NWS ER WFOs
HM: Herb @MAWS

17th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest
- FINAL Results here
1st Place: Don Sutherland
2nd Place: Mitchel Volk
3rd Place: Brad Yehl
Climo: 5th place

Winter '16 / '17 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
18th Annual 'Regular Season'
FINAL results here

16th Annual 'Season-total'
FINAL results here

Saturday, November 29, 2014

Winter '14 / '15 - Storm #1: FINAL Results

Full forecast verifications and summary for Storm #1 at the Contest/s web site.


 1st - Mitchel Volk 
 SUMSQ Z:-1.234  
 STP:11.4 (5) 
 TAE:28.9 (1) 
 AAE:1.20 (1) 
 2nd - donsutherland1 
 SUMSQ Z:-0.817  
 STP:5.0 (3) 
 TAE:43.5 (3) 
 AAE:1.81 (3) 
 3rd - snocat918 
 SUMSQ Z:-0.740  
 STP:9.8 (4) 
 TAE:41.9 (2) 
 AAE:1.68 (2) 
 HM - Herb@MAWS 
 SUMSQ Z:-0.221  
 STP:1.1 (1) 
 TAE:49.5 (6) 
 AAE:2.06 (6) 

SUMSQ: sum of square errors
STP: storm-total precipitation error
TAE: total absolute error
AAE: average absolute error
(number): category rank
Click on images for higher resolution.


Anonymous said...

Well done to those four, the link to the full results does not seem to be working (yet). -- Roger Smith

TQ said...

Try again Roger and post back if there's still trubble.

Anonymous said...

I see it now, the menu is over to the left. That was a pretty good storm for November. I nailed the important ORH-ABE corridor. -- RS

TQ said...

Mitch's forecast nailed the snowfall's synoptic-scale magnitude and distribution.