CONTEST STATUS - Updated: SAT ... 14-APR-18 @ 9 PM EDT

Winter '17 / '18 - Snowfall Forecast Contests

19th Annual 'Regular Season' Snowfall Forecast Contest
- FINAL Results here
1st Place: Brad Yehl
2nd Place: Don Sutherland
3rd Place: NWS ER WFOs
HM: Herb @MAWS

17th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest
- FINAL Results here
1st Place: Don Sutherland
2nd Place: Mitchel Volk
3rd Place: Brad Yehl
Climo: 5th place

Winter '16 / '17 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
18th Annual 'Regular Season'
FINAL results here

16th Annual 'Season-total'
FINAL results here

Sunday, February 15, 2015

Winter '14 / '15 - Storm #6: Call for Forecasts!

Winter Gets Bored Savaging SNE
Goes Looking for New Innocents Over the Mid-Atlantic

On-set of modeled precipitation jumped up ~18 hours yesterday complicating the deadline for entries.  Significant accumulations progged over southern portions of the forecast area MON evening as the LOW heads for the VA Capes; therefore the deadline for entries is 7 PM EST.

Forecast should include snowfall observed anytime on MON ... 16-FEB over the southern half of the forecast area.

Contest for Storm #6 may be cancelled prior to the deadline if fewer than six stations are likely to observe at least a 4" snowfall.

Forecast element: storm-total snowfall
Deadline for entries:  7 PM EST ... MON ... 16-FEB-15

Verification begins:  12:01 AM EST ... MON ... 16-FEB-15
Verification ends:  when the snow stops falling
UPDATE:  9 AM EST ... MON ... 16-FEB-15
In light of developments progged by the 00z/16 GFS ... verification period for Storm #6 ends @ 11:59 PM EST ... TUE ... 17-FEB-15.

Enter your forecast at the NEWxSFC/s home page here.
Follow the top-of-page link from 'Enter Storm Forecast.

As always ... there/s no cost ... no fee ... no advertising ... or annoying requests for personal information to enter a forecast.  It's just a fun exercise for winter wx enthusiasts to see who can make the best synoptic-scale snowfall forecast.

If you are issuing your first forecast this winter ... or you entered the 'season-total' forecast contest ... you/ll need to create an account (user name / password / valid e-mail ... if you want a copy of your forecast sent to your Inbox).


Anonymous said...

Could we clarify before the deadline whether the second system shown on GFS 00z as a trailing wave that develops into a second low for New England is to be added into these forecasts or would you cut off when the primary is done? This will help us all, I think.

-- Roger Smith

TQ said...

Thx Roger.
Had not looked at the 00z run last night.

In light of developments progged by the 00z/16 GFS ... inclined to end verification period for Storm #6 @ 11:59 PM EST ... TUE ... 17-FEB-15.

Anonymous said...

Thanks, sounds like a plan. Wonder if the second low will reach contest status? Looks a bit dodgy but it may pep up later.

-- RS