CONTEST STATUS - Updated: FRI ... 23-MAR-18 @ 6 PM EDT

Winter '17 / '18 - Snowfall Forecast Contests

19th Annual 'Regular Season'
- Interim Standings ... as of Snow Storm #7 here
- Forecaster Storm Stats ... as of Snow Storm #7 here

- Snow Storm #8: 21-MAR-18
The Forecasts! here
Preliminary STP verifications here

- Snow Storm #7: 12-MAR-18
FINAL Results here
Winning forecast issued by: iralibov

17th Annual 'Season-total'
Deadline for entries has passed
Forecasters' summary here

Winter '16 / '17 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
18th Annual 'Regular Season'
FINAL results here

16th Annual 'Season-total'
FINAL results here

Wednesday, April 8, 2015

Winter '14 / '15 - 14th Annual Season-total Snowfall Forecast Contest: FINAL Results

Don Sutherland FTW!

The 'season-total' snowfall forecast contest/s error statistic is total absolute error.
For each forecast station ... the absolute value of (Forecast - Observed) is calculated ... then summed.
Forecasts with lower 'total absolute forecast' errors have more skill than those with higher 'total absolute forecast' errors.
P-O-R-N is the 'Period Of Record Normal' or climatology.
Skillful season-total forecasts beat climatology.
Lowest Station Errors
Forecaster STP Summary
Snowfall Totals (DJFM)
DEC Totals
JAN Totals
FEB Totals
MAR Totals
Everyone's forecast has been verified and posted to the Contest/s web site here.
Hope to see y'all back again next winter.

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