Thursday, November 24, 2016

Winter '16 / '17 - 16th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest - Call for Forecasts!

NE.Wx's 16th annual ‘Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest is the absolute best ... biggest ... and probably ONLY chance to be recognized for your long-range forecasting acumen ;/

And it's easy.
All you have to do is forecast the season-total snowfall at 25 stations from RDU to CAR!

Deadline: WED ... 30-NOV-16 @ 11:59 PM EST

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Visit the Contest's website to enter your forecast.
Follow the link at the top of the page to 'Enter Season-total Forecast.'

1st place prize (delivered post-paid right to your front door):
"The Snow Booklet" by Nolan J. Doesken and Arthur Judson (paperback) and "Snow in America" by Bernard Mergan (hardcover)

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As always ... NO cost ... NO fees ... NO advertising ... NO annoying requests for personal information to enter the contest.  NEWxSFC is just a fun exercise for winter wx enthusiasts to see who can make the best season-total snowfall forecast.

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Forecast element: sum-total season snowfall @ each station
Forecast period: 01-DEC-16 through 31-MAR-17
Verification: NWS preliminary climate reports (CLM or CF6)

Error statistic: total absolute error [Σ abs(forecast - observed)]

Update your forecast as often as you want prior to the deadline.
Only your last entry gets verified.

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The reigning NE.Wx ‘Season-Total’ Snowfall Forecasting Champ-een is snowman
Last year's 'Season-total' forecast summary ... verification ... and final results ==> here

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The Contest is open to amateur and professional forecasters; broadcasters with or without trained Seals; any and all weather-biz types and / or wanna-bees; wish-casters ... astrologers ... along with any other universally recognized classes of dreamers; Pollyannas or Cassandras ... registered Nostradamusts ... non-violent megalomaniacs ... woolly-bear caterpillars or their agents ... pest detectives ... NE.Wx NG veterans and lurkers; refugees from AmericanWx and/or USWeather ... including self-imposed exiles from Eastern Wx ... and of course ... meteorologists.

In honor of USENET/s ne.weather/s patron saint Mr. Joseph Bartlo's final request (RIP) ... trolls ... goats ... hat3-lsiters ... and psests need not apply.

6 comments:

Unknown said...

In the interests of accuracy, I did not have the closest forecast last winter for Bangor as shown in the table, check Snowman's forecast for that distinction. -- Roger Smith (a.k.a. Peter O'Donnell in the vast cyber universe)

Looking forward to a more active winter season forthcoming.

TQ said...

Interesting.
I see a few other instances where it's off.
Thx for catching the error.

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Turns out the summary calculations did not include snowman's row.
Doesn't change the outcome but it does affect who's ID'd w/the lowest error. Will fix and republish when I get a moment.

Unknown said...

I will give this contest site a plug over on American Weather Forums around Nov 28th, hope it generates a few more entries. -- Roger Smith

TQ said...

Much obliged.

Unknown said...

I think my blitz resulted in three or four new entrants, let's hope they get a few contests this season (in my case, I hope they get a boatload of them). -- Roger Smith

TQ said...

Five new forecasters this year.
Thx for sending them over.

Jessica_wxgirl
weathermbug
Losetoa6
MillVilleWx
dmillz25

Anyone look familiar?