CONTEST STATUS - Updated: FRI ... 14-JUL-17 @ 8:30 PM EDT

Winter '17 / '18 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
19th Annual 'Regular Season'
Season starts when the first flakes start a'flyin'

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17th Annual 'Season-total'
Entries accepted between 01-NOV-17 and 30-NOV-17
Verification period: 01-DEC-17 through 31-MAR-18

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Winter '16 / '17 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
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18th Annual 'Regular Season'
FINAL results here
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16th Annual 'Season-total'
FINAL results here

Sunday, January 1, 2017

Winter '16 / '17 - Snow Storm #1: FINAL Results

Forecaster verifications and storm summary at NEWxSFC/s home page.
http://www.newx-forecasts.com/

     
 1st - shillelagh 
 SUMSQ:51  
 SUMSQ Z:-1.032  
 STP:0.6 (1) 
 TAE:19.4 (2) 
 AAE:0.92 (1) 
     
 2nd - Herb @MAWS 
 SUMSQ:64  
 SUMSQ Z:-0.887  
 STP:9.7 (6) 
 TAE:17.7 (1) 
 AAE:0.99 (2) 
     
 3rd - TQ 
 SUMSQ:79  
 SUMSQ Z:-0.721  
 STP:5.9 (4) 
 TAE:22.4 (3) 
 AAE:1.18 (3) 
     
 HM - WeatherT 
 SUMSQ:96  
 SUMSQ Z:-0.537  
 STP:6.5 (5) 
 TAE:24.5 (5) 
 AAE:1.29 (5) 
     

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 SUMSQ: sum of square errors (")
 STP: storm-total precipitation error (")
 TAE: total absolute error (")
 AAE: average absolute error (")
 (number): category rank

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2 comments:

Shillelagh said...

Thanks TQ! I am back to claim my rightful bridesmaid position this season.

TQ said...

Congratulations on your most excellent forecast.
Shanabe should do so well.