Saturday, February 9, 2019

Winter '18 / '19 - Snow Storm #4: Call for Forecasts!

Miller-B type cyclogenesis along the nearshore waters of the upper M-A coast associated with a mid-latitude cyclone tracking NE across the Great Lakes throughout the forecast period expected to produce the season/s 4th 'contest-worthy' snow storm.

Vertical temperature profiles from numerical weather prediction models suggest the possibility for mixed forms of frozen precipitation i.e., snow and sleet.  Verifying storm-total snowfall totals will include sleet accumulations.

The contest for Snow Storm #4 may be cancelled prior to the deadline if fewer than six stations are likely to observe at least a 4" storm-total snowfall.

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Forecast element: each station's storm-total snowfall
Deadline for entries: 10:00 PM EST ... SUN ... 10-FEB-19
Verification begins: 12:01 AM EST ... MON ... 11-FEB-19
Verification ends: 11:59 PM EST ... WED ... 13-FEB-19

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Enter your forecast at the NEWxSFC/s home page here. http://www.newx-forecasts.com/
Follow the top-of-page link from 'Enter Storm Forecast.

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As always ... there/s no cost ... no fee ... no advertising ... or annoying requests for personal information to enter a forecast. It/s just a fun exercise for winter wx enthusiasts to see who can make the best synoptic-scale snowfall forecast.

You also get the chance to see how well your forecast stacks up against NWS Eastern Region Weather Forecast Offices (turns out they/ve been pretty easy to beat!)

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If you are issuing your first forecast this winter ... or you entered the 'season-total' forecast contest ... you/ll need to create an account -- user name / password / valid e-mail (if you want a copy of your forecast sent to your Inbox).

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