CONTEST STATUS - Updated: MON ... 09-DEC-19 @ 2:50 PM EST

Winter '19 / '20 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
21st Annual 'Snow Storm' Snowfall Forecast Contest

Snow Storm #2
Synoptiscope in VCP32

Snow Storm #1
FINAL Results here

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19th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest
Deadline for entries has passed
Verification period: 01-DEC-19 through 31-MAR-20
The Forecasts here

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Winter '18 / '19 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
20th Annual 'Snow Storm' Snowfall Forecast Contest
FINAL Results here

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18th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest
FINAL Results here
Forecaster verification table here

Monday, December 2, 2019

Winter '19 / '20 - 19th Annual Season-total Snowfall Forecasting Contest: The Forecasts!

17 forecasters + P-O-R-N + CONSENSUS

Forecaster table ranked by STP

BLUE - <= 25th percentile
RED - >= 75th percentile
P-O-R-N - period of record normal
CONSENSUS - average station forecasts

Some forecasts have decimal values and were recorded as such; however ... rounding was applied for display purposes only.

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Total station forecasts:  475 (including P-O-R-N & CONSENSUS)
Total station forecasts for ...
BELOW average snowfall - 175 (37%)
AVERAGE snowfall - 26 (5%)
ABOVE average snowfall - 274 (58%)


Confidence -- at least 67% of forecasts -- for stations with ...
- ABOVE average snowfall:  10
CAR ... BGR ... PWM ... CON ... BTV ... BDR ... BDL ... ALB ... BGM ... ABE

- AVERAGE snowfall:  1
ACY

- BELOW average snowfall:  14
BOS ... ORH ... PVD ... NYC ... MDT ... PHL ... EWR ... BWI ... DCA ... IAD ... SBY ... RIC ... ORF ... RDU

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All forecaster entries at the Contest/s web site here (direct link to forecasts here).

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

LOL == I am a quarter of the way home for ALB and it's December 2nd. == RS

TQ said...

Appears ALB was Ground Zero for the upper system's pivot point