CONTEST STATUS - Updated: SAT ... 18-JAN-20 @ 1:15 PM EST

Winter '19 / '20 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
21st Annual 'Snow Storm' Snowfall Forecast Contest

Snow Storm #2
Synoptiscope in VCP32

Snow Storm #1 (01-DEC-19)
FINAL Results here

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19th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest
Deadline for entries has passed
Verification period: 01-DEC-19 through 31-MAR-20
The Forecasts here

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Winter '18 / '19 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
20th Annual 'Snow Storm' Snowfall Forecast Contest
FINAL Results here

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18th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest
FINAL Results here
Forecaster verification table here

Tuesday, March 10, 2020

Winter '19 / '20 - Season-total Snowfall Forecast Contest: FEB Totals

FEB-20 snowfall summary by forecast station.
Rank ordered descending by percent of monthly period-of-record-normal (P-O-R-N).

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Green ==> 75th percentile
White ==> less than 75th and greater than 25th percentile (inter-quartile range)
Red ==> 25th percentile

Obs reported as 0.05" implies Trace

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FEB Forecast Station Highlights
CAR
- The observed 33" snowfall is 146% of its monthly P-O-R-N of 22.6".
- about one-third its season-total normal

BGM
- The observed 25.2" snowfall is 140% of its monthly P-O-R-N of 18".
- about one-third its season-total normal

BTV
- The observed 21.4" snowfall is 123% of its monthly P-O-R-N of 17.4".
- about one-third its season-total normal

RDU
- The observed 2.5" snowfall is 109% of its monthly P-O-R-N of 2.3".
- 38% its season-total normal

Biggest losers
DCA:  0"

Observed v P-O-R-N (less than 15%)
ORH:  (2.5'' v 17.8'')
RIC:  (0.5'' v 3.9'')
BOS:  (0.5'' v 12.6'')
BDL:  (0.4'' v 12.9'')
SBY:  (T v 3.4'')
ACY:  (T v 6.3'')
BWI:  (T v 6.8'')
IAD:  (T v 7.2'')
PHL:  (T v 7.4'')
NYC:  (T v 8.9'')
BDR:  (T v 9'')
EWR:  (T v 9.1'')
MDT:  (T v 9.3'')
ABE:  (T v 9.9'')
PVD:  (T v 10.2'')
DCA:  (0'' v 5.4'')

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Season-to-Date

FEB P-O-R-N contributes 262" (28%) toward the season-total snowfall (D-J-F-M) of 929".
FEB-20 observed snowfall:  124.2" (47% of P-O-R-N; 13% of season-total snowfall)

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Teleconnections

No contest-worthy storms in FEB.

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Winter '19 / '20 - Season-total Snowfall Forecast Contest: DEC Totals
Winter '19 / '20 - Season-total Snowfall Forecast Contest: JAN Totals

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

The coronavirus has cancelled winter -- cold air masses have been placed in quarantine in northern Canada. -- Roger Smith :)