Winter '22 / '23 - 22nd Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest: FINAL Results

NYC ... 5th Ave.
Alfred Stieglitz.(1892)

Congratulations to snowman for issuing the best season-total snowfall forecast for Winter '22 / '23.

Complete forecaster verification table at the Contest web site.
http://www.newx-forecasts.com/NEWxSFC_24/season-total/season_total_verification_2223.htm

Forecasters ranked ascending by their Total Absolute Error (TAE).

BLUE ==> 1st Quartile
WHITE ==>  Interquartile range
RED ==> 4th Quartile
ORANGE:  Winter '22 / '23 Chief 'Season-total' Forecaster (winner of  '21 / '22 contest)

The '%MPRV over PORN' metric indicates how much the forecast was an improvement over Period-Of-Record-Normal (PORN).  Skillful forecasts beat PORN.

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Forecasters' stations with the lowest absolute error.

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Winter '22 / '23 ranks 17th among the 19 'season-total' Contests since Winter '04 / '05 ... the winter when BGR and BGM were added to the station list.  It was the 5th consecutive winter with below normal season-total snowfall.  Lowest season-total' snowfall occurred during moderate La Nina Winter '11 / '12 when 393" was observed.

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Season-total snowfall for Winter '22 / '23 for all forecast stations (602") came in 36% below the Period-Of-Record Normal (936").

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Station Climo ... Observed Snowfall ... Departure from Normal ... and Percent of Normal Snowfall

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DEC snowfall totals:
https://newxsfc.blogspot.com/2023/01/winter-22-23-season-total-snowfall.html

JAN snowfall totals:
http://newxsfc.blogspot.com/2023/02/winter-22-23-season-total-snowfall.html

FEB snowfall totals:
https://newxsfc.blogspot.com/2023/03/winter-22-23-season-total-snowfall.html

MAR snowfall totals:
https://newxsfc.blogspot.com/2023/04/winter-22-23-season-total-snowfall.html

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Season-total snowfall analysis courtesy NOHRSC

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Teleconnections

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PRIZES
1st place prize (delivered post-paid right to snowman/s front door):
... pick of the litter from NEWxSFC/s library of meteorology and weather publications
... the august and highly coveted title of 'Chief Season-total Snowfall Forecaster' for Winter '23 / '24
... a well-deserved place of honor with past Contest winners

2nd place prize (delivered post-paid right to Jessica Cain/s front door):
... second pick from NEWxSFC/s library of meteorology and weather publications

3rd place prize (delivered post-paid right to Herb@MAWS/s front door):
... third pick from NEWxSFC/s library of meteorology and weather publications

Prizes winners: please contact (newxsfc [at] comcast [dot] net) with a USPS address.