CONTEST STATUS - Updated: WED ... 21-MAR-18 @ 11:40 AM EDT

Winter '17 / '18 - Snowfall Forecast Contests

19th Annual 'Regular Season'
- Interim Standings ... as of Snow Storm #7 here
- Forecaster Storm Stats ... as of Snow Storm #7 here

- Snow Storm #8: 21-MAR-18
Deadline for entries has passed
The Forecasts! here

- Snow Storm #7: 12-MAR-18
FINAL Results here
Winning forecast issued by: iralibov

17th Annual 'Season-total'
Deadline for entries has passed
Forecasters' summary here

Winter '16 / '17 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
18th Annual 'Regular Season'
FINAL results here

16th Annual 'Season-total'
FINAL results here

Monday, February 25, 2008

Interim Standings

Seven (7) Contests to date. Under the ‘two-thirds’ rule…forecasters who have entered at least five (5) forecasts are included in this interim summary.

Donsutherland1 retains his iron grip on 1st place with a best '5-out-of-7' average SUMSQ Error Z-score of -1.169. (delta: +0.045)

2nd Place: TQ (-0.833; delta: -0.102)
3rd Place: Shanabe (-0.826; delta: +0.094)

Complete data table @ the Contest web site.

SUMSQ errors for each contest snow storm are normalized with a 'Z-score'...then averaged to compute the standings. Forecasters who have entered at least 2/3 of all snow storm contests are included in the standings.

If a forecaster has participated in more than two-thirds of all snow storm contests...then Z-scores from their 'best two-thirds' forecasts are used to calculate interim and final standings. Same idea as dropping the lowest quiz score before the final grade is computed.

Click images to enlarge.

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