CONTEST STATUS - Updated: WED ... 13-DEC-17 @ 8:30 PM EST

Winter '17 / '18 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
19th Annual 'Regular Season'
Snow Storm #1
Synoptiscope in VCP32

17th Annual 'Season-total'
Deadline for entries has passed
Forecasters' summary here

Winter '16 / '17 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
18th Annual 'Regular Season'
FINAL results here
16th Annual 'Season-total'
FINAL results here

Monday, February 25, 2008

Interim Standings

Seven (7) Contests to date. Under the ‘two-thirds’ rule…forecasters who have entered at least five (5) forecasts are included in this interim summary.

Donsutherland1 retains his iron grip on 1st place with a best '5-out-of-7' average SUMSQ Error Z-score of -1.169. (delta: +0.045)

2nd Place: TQ (-0.833; delta: -0.102)
3rd Place: Shanabe (-0.826; delta: +0.094)

Complete data table @ the Contest web site.

SUMSQ errors for each contest snow storm are normalized with a 'Z-score'...then averaged to compute the standings. Forecasters who have entered at least 2/3 of all snow storm contests are included in the standings.

If a forecaster has participated in more than two-thirds of all snow storm contests...then Z-scores from their 'best two-thirds' forecasts are used to calculate interim and final standings. Same idea as dropping the lowest quiz score before the final grade is computed.

Click images to enlarge.

No comments: