Interim Standings
Eight (8) Contests to date. Under the ‘two-thirds’ rule…forecasters who have entered at least six (6) forecasts are included in this interim summary.
Donsutherland1 holds 1st place with a best '6-out-of-8' average SUMSQ Error Z-score of -1.165. (delta: +0.005)
2nd Place: Raven (-0.685; delta: -0.131)
3rd Place: TQ (-0.679; delta: 0.154)
Complete data table @ the Contest web site.
SUMSQ errors for each contest snow storm are normalized with a 'Z-score'...then averaged to compute the standings. Forecasters who have entered at least 2/3 of all snow storm contests are included in the standings.
If a forecaster has participated in more than two-thirds of all snow storm contests...then Z-scores from their 'best two-thirds' forecasts are used to calculate interim and final standings. Same idea as dropping the lowest quiz score before the final grade is computed.
Click images to enlarge.
Donsutherland1 holds 1st place with a best '6-out-of-8' average SUMSQ Error Z-score of -1.165. (delta: +0.005)
2nd Place: Raven (-0.685; delta: -0.131)
3rd Place: TQ (-0.679; delta: 0.154)
Complete data table @ the Contest web site.
SUMSQ errors for each contest snow storm are normalized with a 'Z-score'...then averaged to compute the standings. Forecasters who have entered at least 2/3 of all snow storm contests are included in the standings.
If a forecaster has participated in more than two-thirds of all snow storm contests...then Z-scores from their 'best two-thirds' forecasts are used to calculate interim and final standings. Same idea as dropping the lowest quiz score before the final grade is computed.
Click images to enlarge.
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