CONTEST STATUS - Last update: THU ... 20-APR-17 @ 9:40 PM EDT

Winter '17 / '18 - Snowfall Forecast Contests

19th Annual 'Regular Season'

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17th Annual 'Season-total'

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Winter '16 / '17 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
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18th Annual 'Regular Season'
FINAL results here
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16th Annual 'Season-total'
FINAL results here

Wednesday, March 5, 2008

Interim Standings

Eight (8) Contests to date. Under the ‘two-thirds’ rule…forecasters who have entered at least six (6) forecasts are included in this interim summary.

Donsutherland1 holds 1st place with a best '6-out-of-8' average SUMSQ Error Z-score of -1.165. (delta: +0.005)



2nd Place: Raven (-0.685; delta: -0.131)
3rd Place: TQ (-0.679; delta: 0.154)



Complete data table @ the Contest web site.

SUMSQ errors for each contest snow storm are normalized with a 'Z-score'...then averaged to compute the standings. Forecasters who have entered at least 2/3 of all snow storm contests are included in the standings.

If a forecaster has participated in more than two-thirds of all snow storm contests...then Z-scores from their 'best two-thirds' forecasts are used to calculate interim and final standings. Same idea as dropping the lowest quiz score before the final grade is computed.

Click images to enlarge.

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