CONTEST STATUS - Updated: SUN ... 187-NOV-18 @ 7:30 PM EST

Winter '18 / '19 - Snowfall Forecast Contests

20th Annual 'Regular Season' Snowfall Forecast Contest

What's A 'Contest-worthy' Storm?

Snow Storm #2
Synoptiscope in VCP32

Snow Storm #1
FINAL results here

18th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest
Verification period: 01-DEC-18 thru 31-MAR-19
Deadline for entries: 11:59 PM EST ... FRI ... 30-NOV-18
Details here

Winter '17 / '18 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
19th Annual 'Regular Season'
FINAL results here

17th Annual 'Season-total'
FINAL results here

Saturday, February 13, 2016

Winter '15 / '16 - Snow Storm #2 - FINAL Results

Full forecast verification and summary at NEWxSFC/s home page.

 1st - TQ 
 SUMSQ Z:-0.586  
 STP:17.8 (4) 
 TAE:28.2 (1) 
 AAE:1.04 (1) 
 2nd - donsutherland1 
 SUMSQ Z:-0.542  
 STP:25.4 (7) 
 TAE:32.7 (2) 
 AAE:1.31 (2) 
 3rd - Herb @MAWS 
 SUMSQ Z:-0.507  
 STP:9.1 (3) 
 TAE:34.6 (3) 
 AAE:1.39 (3) 
 HM - Donald Rosenfeld 
 SUMSQ Z:-0.504  
 STP:19.9 (5) 
 TAE:34.8 (4) 
 AAE:1.39 (4) 
SUMSQ: sum of square errors
STP: storm-total precipitation error
TAE: total absolute error
AAE: average absolute error
(number): category rank



Anonymous said...



TQ said...


Anonymous said...

Who won the contest for 2015-2016??

Anonymous said...

It seems like that a forecaster who participated in two storms when only two storms occurred participated in not two thirds of the storms but, instead, 100% of the forecasted storms.

Participants played by the rules, the manager of the contest should as well.