CONTEST STATUS - Updated: SUN ... 17-FEB-19 @ 6:40 PM EST

Winter '18 / '19 - Snowfall Forecast Contests

20th Annual 'Regular Season' Snowfall Forecast Contest

Interim Standings, as of Snow Storm #3
Details here

Snow Storm #5
Possible 'Call for Forecasts' MON ... 18-FEB-19

Snow Storm #4
FINAL Results here

Snow Storm #3
FINAL Results here

18th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest
Deadline for entries has passed.
Forecasts here
Verification period: 01-DEC-18 thru 31-MAR-19

Winter '17 / '18 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
19th Annual 'Regular Season'
FINAL results here

17th Annual 'Season-total'
FINAL results here

Friday, February 12, 2016

Winter '15 / '16 - Snow Storm #2: Preliminary Verification

Preliminary storm-total snowfalls for TUE through THU from CDUS41 and CXUS51 bulletins.
Good coverage but some spotty reporting.

11-FEB climate bulletins reported 0.11" liquid but 0" snow.
METAR carried all snow during the period of precipitation.
Previous days' 13.1: 1 SN:H20 was applied to the reported 0.11" liquid for an estimated daily snowfall of 1.5"

P- and 6-groups carried all 0s throughout the event.
VSBY briefly 3/4 SM; otherwise ... ~2 SM.
Estimated STP no more then 0.1"

PNSAKQ carried a report from a city official of 1".
Daily climate data shows 1" snow and 0.02" liquid (SN:H20 = 50:1)

PNSPHI carried reports from neighboring Sussex county ... DE where MAX snowfall of 0.7" came from Delmar located five miles north of SBY.  SBY/s reported 1" snowfall appears reasonable but not the liquid equivalent.

No new daily records.

Snow storm #2 underperformed with only two stations observing more than nuisance snowfall (>= 4").
Most stations (23 of 27) reported snowfall greater than Trace.

A 'Call for Forecasts' was not issued for what turned out to be the main event 08-FEB b/c NWP failed again to capture the storm's intensity until it was too late.

Please report any errors in Comments along with a link to the correct data.
Final results SAT evening.

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