CONTEST STATUS - Updated: SAT ... 14-APR-18 @ 9 PM EDT

Winter '17 / '18 - Snowfall Forecast Contests

19th Annual 'Regular Season' Snowfall Forecast Contest
- FINAL Results here
1st Place: Brad Yehl
2nd Place: Don Sutherland
3rd Place: NWS ER WFOs
HM: Herb @MAWS

17th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest
- FINAL Results here
1st Place: Don Sutherland
2nd Place: Mitchel Volk
3rd Place: Brad Yehl
Climo: 5th place

Winter '16 / '17 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
18th Annual 'Regular Season'
FINAL results here

16th Annual 'Season-total'
FINAL results here

Saturday, March 18, 2017

Winter '16 / '17 - Snow Storm #4: FINAL Results

THX to Forecaster Roger Smith for alerting us to important errors in the STP verification data (forgot in include 13-MAR snowfall - 1D10T error).  Stats and standings have been corrected.

Original post 17-MAR-17 @ 10:15 PM EDT
Forecaster's station verifications and the storm summary at NEWxSFC/s home page.

 1st - Shillelagh 
 SUMSQ Z:-1.627  
 STP:28.9 (5) 
 TAE:86.8 (1) 
 AAE:3.47 (1) 
 2nd - WeatherT 
 SUMSQ Z:-1.024  
 STP:45.8 (9) 
 TAE:129.0 (3) 
 AAE:5.16 (3) 
 3rd - Brad Yehl 
 SUMSQ Z:-0.816  
 STP:46.3 (10) 
 TAE:133.1 (4) 
 AAE:5.32 (4) 
 HM - JessicaCain 
 SUMSQ Z:-0.792  
 STP:49.1 (11) 
 TAE:138.1 (5) 
 AAE:5.53 (6) 



Shillelagh said...

Whoa. Not sure how I pulled this out...if you only knew where I entered my forecasts from...let's just say there were "spirits" and a jukebox involved. I went with my gut on this as I didn't have access to last rounds of models but the west trend seemed credible and I kept thinking back to the #2 storm CIPS analog...March 1993, which hugged the coast - and effed me with 3" of snow and rain and dryslot in SECT - #neverforget ;). As Twain said, paraphrasing...history doesn't repeat but it does rhyme...


Shillelagh said...

And as always, Thank you for running this contest TQ. Most appreciated.

TQ said...

Thanks for playing and congratulations on a crushing the competition.