CONTEST STATUS - Updated: SAT ... 11-APR-20 @ 8:30 PM EST

Winter '19 / '20 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
21st Annual 'Snow Storm' Snowfall Forecast Contest
Season ended as quickly as it started.
No winner this go'round ... too few storms (minimum of three required)

Snow Storm #1 (01-DEC-19)
FINAL Results here

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19th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest
FINAL Results here

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Winter '18 / '19 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
20th Annual 'Snow Storm' Snowfall Forecast Contest
FINAL Results here

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18th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest
FINAL Results here
Forecaster verification table here

Monday, April 8, 2019

Winter '18 / '19 - Season-total Snowfall Forecast Contest: Preliminary STP Verification

UPDATE (08-APR-19 @ 11:55 AM EDT)
Added links to monthly snowfall totals

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Original post (06-APR-19 @ 6:42 PM EDT)

Preliminary sum-total season snowfalls for the verification period 01-DEC-18 though 31-MAR-19 collected from monthly climate bulletins (CLMxxx; CXUS51 ... CXUS52).

Seven forecast stations (28% of all stations) with bonus season-total snowfalls [more than Period-Of-Record-Normal (P-O-R-N)].

Rank ordered descending by percent of P-O-R-N.

Green ==> 75th percentile
White ==> Interquartile range (< 75th & > 25th percentiles)
Red ==> 25th percentile

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Please report any errors in Comments along with a link to the correct data.
FINAL results expected NLT SUN evening.

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Winter '18 / '19 monthly snow totals
DEC:  http://newxsfc.blogspot.com/2019/01/winter-18-19-season-total-snowfall.html
JAN:  http://newxsfc.blogspot.com/2019/02/winter-18-19-season-total-snowfall.html
FEB:  http://newxsfc.blogspot.com/2019/03/winter-18-19-season-total-snowfall.html
MAR:  http://newxsfc.blogspot.com/2019/04/winter-18-19-season-total-snowfall.html

3 comments:

Unknown said...

Hope you're feeling better.

Every seasonal forecast had more snow than actually fell. Our only forecast below P-O-R-N was 98% (snowman) and even he was 114" too high. But I like his chances to win this. You won't have to change the order very much in the table you already have anyway. :) -- Roger Smith

TQ said...

I'm on the mend but can only work for limited periods.

Season-total snowfalls rank 11th out of 15 (04/05 thru 18/19).
You're right about the table not needing much re-ordering.

So much for the CW about warm ENSO & bonus snows.

Don said...

TQ, I am sorry to learn this. I hope you will get better soon.