Winter '22 / '23 - Snow Storm #1: Call for Forecasts!

NYC - Queens
Woodside Station (1872)

Today/s 12z NWP suggests the WED/THU storm will produce more than nuisance snows (>= 4") over almost half the Contest/s forecast stations with the M-A stuck once again holding the bag.

Closed LOW analyzed over SW CONUS today progged to open up and lift east along the Gulf of Mexico coast on TUE then track NE through the TN/OH river valleys and spawn 2ndary cyclogenesis over interior M-A before heading up the NE's coastal plain.

System is primarily a rain-maker carrying a broad shield of frozen precipitation to its NW.

Winter '22 / '23 storm tracks to-date ... plagued by La Nina's persistent fatty ridge over the SE ... have treated the far northern reaches of the forecast area with modest snows but measly amounts elsewhere.

This winter/s 1st snowstorm won/t be the latest start to the snowfall forecasting season.  That honor remains with Winter '06 / '07 when the 1st contest-worthy storm made its debut on 12-FEB-07.  That was the 1st of two FEB storms ... followed by two storms in MAR ... and one more in APR; so all hope of salvaging this season is not yet lost.

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- Enter your forecast at the NEWxSFC/s home page at http://www.newx-forecasts.com/

- Follow the top-of-page link from 'Enter Snow Storm Forecast'

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Forecast element: each station/s storm-total snowfall

Deadline for entries: 10:00 PM EST ... TUE ... 24-JAN-23

Verification begins: 12:01 AM EST ... WED ... 25-JAN-23
Verification ends: 11:59 PM EST on the day when flakes stop accumulating.

By entering ... you also get the chance to see how well your forecast stacks up against NWS Eastern Region Weather Forecast Offices. Turns out they/ve been easy to beat!

Who Can Enter
Amateur and professional forecasters; broadcasters with or without trained Seals; any and all other weather-biz types and / or wanna-bees; wish-casters ... astrologers ... along with any other universally recognized class of dreamers; Pollyannas or Cassandras ... registered Nostradamuses ... non-violent megalomaniacs ... woolly-bear caterpillars or their Agents ... pest detectives ... ne.wx news group survivors; riders on the StormVista ... refugees from AmericanWx and/or USWeather free agents ... including self-imposed exiles from Eastern Wx ... and of course ... meteorologists.

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The contest for Snow Storm #1 may be cancelled prior to the deadline if at least 6 to 8 stations are unlikely to observe 4" or more storm-total snowfall.

If you are issuing your first forecast this winter ... or you entered the 'season-total' forecast contest ... you/ll need to create an account -- user name / password / valid e-mail (if you want a copy of your forecast sent to your Inbox).

As always ... there/s no cost ... no fee ... no advertising ... or annoying requests for personal information to enter a forecast. It/s just a fun exercise for snow crows and winter wx enthusiasts to see who can make the best synoptic-scale snowfall forecast.