CONTEST STATUS - Updated: SAT ... 10-SEP-16 @ 2222 LT

Winter '16 / '17 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
18th Annual 'Regular Season'
!!! - Starts as soon as the flakes start flying - !!!

16th Annual 'Season-total'
Enter your forecast at the web site between 01-NOV and 30-NOV

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Winter '15 / '16 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
17th Annual 'Regular Season'
No FINAL standings
Too few storms (2)

The two-thirds rule; forecasters are eligible for ranking in the final standings if they entered at least two-thirds of all storm contests. With only two contest-worthy storms this season ... those forecasters with one entry only would have been ineligible.

In the interest of fairness;
Three storms seems like the bare minimum

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15th Annual 'Season-total'
Verified forecasts here

Wednesday, February 20, 2013

Winter '12 / '13 - Interim Standings

UPDATE
Journeyman forecaster Brad Yehl was inadvertenly left out of the first Interim standings.
His 'Average SUMSQ Error Z-score' was -0.788...which would have put him in third place.

Apologizes to Brad for the oversight.

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(Originally posted 02-FEB-13 @ 7:45 PM EST)
After three snow storms...it/s dryslot...donsutherland1...and Donald Rosenfeld.

Under the ‘two-thirds’ rule…forecasters who have entered at least two forecasts are included in this interim summary.


Full forecaster statistics table and charts here.
All forecasts from all forecasters for all storms here.

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SUMSQ errors for each contest snow storm are normalized with a 'Z-score'...then averaged to compute the standings. Forecasters who have entered at least 2/3 of all snow storm contests are included in the standings.

If a forecaster has participated in more than two-thirds of all snow storm contests...then Z-scores from their 'best two-thirds' forecasts are used to calculate Interim and Final standings. Same idea as dropping the lowest quiz score before the final grade is computed.

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