CONTEST STATUS - Updated: TUE ... 03-MAR-15 @ 6:50 PM EST

Winter '14 / '15 - Snowfall Forecast Contests

---
16th Annual 'Regular Season'

Interim Standings ... as of Storm #6 here

STORM #7
Call for Forecasts!
Deadline for entries: 10:30 PM EST ... WED ... 04-Mar-15
Verification period begins: 12:01 AM EST ... THU ... 05-MAR-15
Details here

STORM #6 (16/17-FEB-15)
FINAL results here

---
14th Annual 'Season-total'
Forecasts here.
.

Wednesday, February 20, 2013

Winter '12 / '13 - Interim Standings

UPDATE
Journeyman forecaster Brad Yehl was inadvertenly left out of the first Interim standings.
His 'Average SUMSQ Error Z-score' was -0.788...which would have put him in third place.

Apologizes to Brad for the oversight.

---
(Originally posted 02-FEB-13 @ 7:45 PM EST)
After three snow storms...it/s dryslot...donsutherland1...and Donald Rosenfeld.

Under the ‘two-thirds’ rule…forecasters who have entered at least two forecasts are included in this interim summary.


Full forecaster statistics table and charts here.
All forecasts from all forecasters for all storms here.

---
SUMSQ errors for each contest snow storm are normalized with a 'Z-score'...then averaged to compute the standings. Forecasters who have entered at least 2/3 of all snow storm contests are included in the standings.

If a forecaster has participated in more than two-thirds of all snow storm contests...then Z-scores from their 'best two-thirds' forecasts are used to calculate Interim and Final standings. Same idea as dropping the lowest quiz score before the final grade is computed.

No comments: