CONTEST STATUS - Updated: WED ... 21-MAR-18 @ 11:40 AM EDT

Winter '17 / '18 - Snowfall Forecast Contests

19th Annual 'Regular Season'
- Interim Standings ... as of Snow Storm #7 here
- Forecaster Storm Stats ... as of Snow Storm #7 here

- Snow Storm #8: 21-MAR-18
Deadline for entries has passed
The Forecasts! here

- Snow Storm #7: 12-MAR-18
FINAL Results here
Winning forecast issued by: iralibov

17th Annual 'Season-total'
Deadline for entries has passed
Forecasters' summary here

Winter '16 / '17 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
18th Annual 'Regular Season'
FINAL results here

16th Annual 'Season-total'
FINAL results here

Wednesday, February 20, 2013

Winter '12 / '13 - Interim Standings

Journeyman forecaster Brad Yehl was inadvertenly left out of the first Interim standings.
His 'Average SUMSQ Error Z-score' was -0.788...which would have put him in third place.

Apologizes to Brad for the oversight.

(Originally posted 02-FEB-13 @ 7:45 PM EST)
After three snow dryslot...donsutherland1...and Donald Rosenfeld.

Under the ‘two-thirds’ rule…forecasters who have entered at least two forecasts are included in this interim summary.

Full forecaster statistics table and charts here.
All forecasts from all forecasters for all storms here.

SUMSQ errors for each contest snow storm are normalized with a 'Z-score'...then averaged to compute the standings. Forecasters who have entered at least 2/3 of all snow storm contests are included in the standings.

If a forecaster has participated in more than two-thirds of all snow storm contests...then Z-scores from their 'best two-thirds' forecasts are used to calculate Interim and Final standings. Same idea as dropping the lowest quiz score before the final grade is computed.

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