CONTEST STATUS - Updated: SAT ... 10-SEP-16 @ 2222 LT

Winter '16 / '17 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
18th Annual 'Regular Season'
!!! - Starts as soon as the flakes start flying - !!!

16th Annual 'Season-total'
Enter your forecast at the web site between 01-NOV and 30-NOV

Winter '15 / '16 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
17th Annual 'Regular Season'
No FINAL standings
Too few storms (2)

The two-thirds rule; forecasters are eligible for ranking in the final standings if they entered at least two-thirds of all storm contests. With only two contest-worthy storms this season ... those forecasters with one entry only would have been ineligible.

In the interest of fairness; three storms seems like the minimum.

15th Annual 'Season-total'
Verified forecasts here

Sunday, February 10, 2013

Winter '12 / '13 - Storm #3: Preliminary Verification

Preliminary storm-total snowfalls for Friday and Saturday from CDUS41...CXUS51...and PNS bulletins.

Several stations in the data table do not have SN:H2O reported b/c their liquid totals included either mixed precipitation...gross errors...or missing data.

HYA estimated STP derived from the average between Centerville (6") to the west and South Yarmouth to the east (8") per PNSBOX.

Six new daily records.
Double-header at MacArthur airport.

ISP - 16.7" (6"; 1994)
ORH - 15.2" (7"; 1945)
BDL - 13.4" (?"; 1945)

BGR - 16.2" (8.6"; 1969)
BOS - 14.8" (12.4"; 1994)
ISP - 11.1" (2"; 1994)

Please report any errors and drop a link to the correct data in Comments.

Final results and storm summary Monday evening.


Anonymous said...

On the prelim CF6 they have Hartford at 25.0 and Bridgeport at 30.0 -- just a question, are those values corrected to the ones you have, or vice-versa? Can see there is something odd with Hartford, they report the liquid equivalent for Saturday as 4 inches and change, which seems way off. Otherwise I think the CF6 reports are the same as what's posted here.
-- RS

TQ said...

Thx for posting your observations.
I also noted those reported values...esp. the 4" liquid.

My preference for verification is the CDUS41 aka Daily Climate
CLI) bulletin b/c it/s updated throughout the day whereas the
CF6 is issued once a day.

BDR/s CLI...issued at 1 AM Sunday...carried 11.6" and
changed at 10:38 AM to 8.6".

BDL: 13.4" + 8.9" = 22.3"
CF6: 13.4" + 11.6" = 25"

BDR: 18.3" + 11.5" = 29.8"
CF6: 18.5" + 11.5" = 30"

Bottom line...the standings do not change no matter which values are used.

Anonymous said...

Thanks for that, I wasn't sure which source was more reliable. Not contest-related, just for general interest as I sometimes report on "final" amounts from the CF6, seems I should maybe use the other source instead. -- RS