CONTEST STATUS - Updated: FRI ... 16-MAR-18 @ 7:40 PM EDT

Winter '17 / '18 - Snowfall Forecast Contests

19th Annual 'Regular Season'
- Interim Standings ... as of Snow Storm #6 here
- Forecaster Storm Stats ... as of Snow Storm #6 here

- Snow Storm #8
Synoptiscope in VCP32

- Snow Storm #7: 11-MAR-18
The Forecasts here
Preliminary STP verifications here

- Snow Storm #6: 07-MAR-18
FINAL Results here
Winning forecast issued by: Donald Rosenfeld

17th Annual 'Season-total'
Deadline for entries has passed
Forecasters' summary here

Winter '16 / '17 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
18th Annual 'Regular Season'
FINAL results here

16th Annual 'Season-total'
FINAL results here

Thursday, December 25, 2014

Winter '14 / '15 - Weakening Polar Vortex ==> Sudden Stratospheric Warming: UPDATE 1

The 12z / 24-DEC-14 run of the ECMWF continued its current campaign for a sudden stratospheric warming event come JAN.

Latest progs point to a weakening and splitting of the stratospheric polar vortex (PV) ... a flip in the high-latitude deep-layer tropospheric flow from W-to-E ... and the ginning-up an anti-cyclonic circulation INVOF 90°N ... all of which point to the near-term development of a negative state for the Arctic Oscillation (AO) and all that implies.

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