CONTEST STATUS - Updated: WED ... 13-DEC-17 @ 8:30 PM EST

Winter '17 / '18 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
19th Annual 'Regular Season'
Snow Storm #1
Synoptiscope in VCP32

17th Annual 'Season-total'
Deadline for entries has passed
Forecasters' summary here

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Winter '16 / '17 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
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18th Annual 'Regular Season'
FINAL results here
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16th Annual 'Season-total'
FINAL results here

Wednesday, February 15, 2017

Winter '16 / '17 - Snow Storm #3: FINAL Results

Forecaster verifications and storm summary at NEWxSFC/s home page.
http://www.newx-forecasts.com/

     
 1st - donsutherland1 
 SUMSQ:172  
 SUMSQ Z:-0.885  
 STP:6.2 (2) 
 TAE:40.4 (2) 
 AAE:2.25 (3) 
     
 2nd - WeatherT 
 SUMSQ:184  
 SUMSQ Z:-0.814  
 STP:24.3 (6) 
 TAE:43.1 (4) 
 AAE:2.27 (4) 
     
 3rd - Brad Yehl 
 SUMSQ:186  
 SUMSQ Z:-0.805  
 STP:17.3 (5) 
 TAE:42.0 (3) 
 AAE:2.21 (2) 
     
 HM - TQ 
 SUMSQ:224  
 SUMSQ Z:-0.591  
 STP:3.3 (1) 
 TAE:38.9 (1) 
 AAE:2.16 (1) 
     

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SUMSQ: sum of square errors (")
STP: storm-total precipitation error (")
TAE: total absolute error (")
AAE: average absolute error (")
(number): category rank

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2 comments:

Shillelagh said...

Thanks TQ! Just the sort of mediocre performance in my forecast that I was looking for....

TQ said...

Most forecasters were surprised by the storm/s under-performance at CAR … PWM …BOS …HYA …ORH …PVD …BDL … ISP …JFK … ABE where forecasts for the MIN STP were best.