CONTEST STATUS - Updated: WED ... 13-DEC-17 @ 8:30 PM EST

Winter '17 / '18 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
19th Annual 'Regular Season'
Snow Storm #1
Synoptiscope in VCP32

17th Annual 'Season-total'
Deadline for entries has passed
Forecasters' summary here

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Winter '16 / '17 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
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18th Annual 'Regular Season'
FINAL results here
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16th Annual 'Season-total'
FINAL results here

Thursday, February 16, 2017

Winter '16 / '17 - Sudden Stratospheric Warming: Watch #2

Could be the season/s final stratospheric warming event.
Images from 15-FEB-17 ECMWF run.


Weak high-altitude zonal flow returns after the recent SSW event.

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Flow above 30 mb reverses and strengthens as the PV is once again displaced.
Flow throughout the depth of the troposphere (evidence of the downward propagation from the previous SSW?) also reverses.

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Cold pool from previous SSW event progged to settle above the NOAM/s Arctic Circle near month/s end.

Stratosphere Diagnostics courtesy Freie Universität Berlin

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