WSI/s Foundering Winter '07 / '08 Forecast

"Typically, in the eastern U.S., La Nina means a warm October and a cold
December," Crawford said in the press release. But ocean temperatures in
the northern Pacific indicate a colder October in the Northeast, he said."

WSI got off to a slow start with its winter LR forecast issued in SEP calling for a 'below normal' OCT in the Northeast. OCT temperatures in the NE and mid-Atlantic came in 7 - 9°F above normal. Crawford went on to predict 'above normal' temperatures in NOV...but that call is going up in flames...as well.

WSI stuck to its 'warmer than normal' NOV forecast in its late OCT update...which also called for DEC to be 'below normal' and JAN 'above normal.'

The latest WSI forecast...issued a week ago...continues to expect DEC to be 'below normal' and JAN 'above normal.' The FEB forecast...appearing for the first time...is 'above normal.'

Beating CLIMO demonstrates forecast skill. The shorter the lead time the better chance there is to getting it right. So far this year...these guys got nothing.