Tuesday, December 22, 2009

Winter '09 / '10 - Snow Storm #1 - Final Results

NEWxSFC Chief forecaster donsutherland1 picked up where he left off last winter with another top-ranked synoptic-scale snowfall forecast.

His 27 station forecasts verified with 344.2 SUMSQ error points (Z-Score = -0.915)...a 67% improvement over the average error of 1056".  The 220" storm-total precipitation (STP) forecast for all stations came within 5% of the observed 213.4" snowfall.


Donsutherland1/s issued perfect forecasts @ BOS and BGM.

Congratulations donsutherland1!





2nd Place:  Donald Rosenfeld (SUMSQ error: 372.9"; Z-score:  -0.878)
3rd Place:  Newa2010 (379.16"; -0.870)
Honorable Mention:  Herb @ MAWS (383.2; -0.865)

Full forecast verification and results summary here.

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