CONTEST STATUS - Updated: SAT ... 14-APR-18 @ 9 PM EDT

Winter '17 / '18 - Snowfall Forecast Contests

19th Annual 'Regular Season' Snowfall Forecast Contest
- FINAL Results here
1st Place: Brad Yehl
2nd Place: Don Sutherland
3rd Place: NWS ER WFOs
HM: Herb @MAWS

17th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest
- FINAL Results here
1st Place: Don Sutherland
2nd Place: Mitchel Volk
3rd Place: Brad Yehl
Climo: 5th place

Winter '16 / '17 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
18th Annual 'Regular Season'
FINAL results here

16th Annual 'Season-total'
FINAL results here

Monday, January 25, 2010

Winter '09 / '10 - Coastal Teaser #3

NWP model solutions have been advertising a coastal storm late in the week with GooFuS starting the event a day sooner than the ECMWF.

PNA is forecast to peak near +2 STD...AO currently below -1 STD and decreasing...and the NAO is expected to rise sharply from -3 STD ahead of an event that could turn out to be a fair test of Archambault cool-season regime transition and its impact on NE precipitation (.ppt 3.5 mb)

A 'Call for Forecasts' may be issued late Wednesday with a 10:30PM EST deadline on Thursday...if shorter-range progs indicate a contest-worthy snow storm is likely to occur.

Stratosphere is showing signs of another warming during early FEB as the PV shifts away from the pole to a position over Great Britain where it splits in half with an anti-cyclone centered over extreme NE Alaska / NW Canada.

Oft takes ~3 weeks for these signatures to work their way into the troposhere...heralding a return to bitter cold in the east by month's end featuring arctic air mass intrusions from the north pole.

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