Today/s 12z GFS progs indicate a fair number forecast stations across the mid-Atlantic and southern New England are in line to get more than nuisance snows making this season/s premiere event a contest-worthy storm.
Miller A-B hybrid storm expected to spawn in the Gulf of Mexico INVOF KBRO on Christmas Day...then move into western TN beneath the eastern extension of a 1033 HIGH over James Bay.
Weak re-development on the southern mid-Atlantic coast coast near the VA Capes late Wednesday followed by a track up the NE coast. Poor upper-level support suggested by the open wave at 5H and little if any height falls throughout the forecast period.
Mainly a rain event with snow on the northern edge of the cloud shield and a broad transition zone of mixed precipitation.
The contest may be canceled prior to the deadline if NWP indicates a fizzling event.
Forecast element: storm-total snowfall
Deadline for entries: 10:30 PM EST TUE...25-DEC-12
Verification period begins: 12:01 AM WED...26-DEC-12
Verification period ends: 11:59 PM FRI...28-DEC-12
Enter your forecast at the Contest's home page here.
Follow the link from 'Enter Storm Forecast.'
As always...there/s no cost...or fee...or advertising...or annoying requests for personal information to enter a forecast. It's just a fun exercise among winter wx enthusiasts to see who can make the best synoptic-scale snowfall forecast.
If you are issuing your first forecast this winter...or you entered the 'season-total' forecast contest...you/ll need to create an account (user name / password / valid e-mail...if you want a copy of your forecast sent to your Inbox).
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Send requests to 'newx at newx-forecasts dot com'.