CONTEST STATUS - Updated: SUN...20-JUL-14 @ 7:35 PM EDT

Winter '14 / '15 - Snowfall Forecast Contests

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16th Annual 'Regular Season'

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14th Annual 'Season-total'

Monday, December 31, 2012

Winter '12 / '13 - Storm #2: Final Results

1st - donsutherland1
SUMSQ:
77.41

SUMSQ Z:
-1.049

STP:
13.15
 (5)
TAE:
30.45
 (1)
AAE:
1.45
 (2)



2nd - Brad Yehl
SUMSQ:
78.27

SUMSQ Z:
-1.040

STP:
10.15
 (4)
TAE:
31.05
 (2)
AAE:
1.29
 (1)
3rd - snocat918
SUMSQ:
104.51

SUMSQ Z:
-0.752

STP:
7.55
 (3)
TAE:
39.55
 (5)
AAE:
1.72
 (4)



HM - Donald Rosenfeld
SUMSQ:
112.59

SUMSQ Z:
-0.663

STP:
1.10
 (1)
TAE:
40.20
 (6)
AAE:
1.83
 (6)


SUMSQ: sum of square errors
STP: storm-total precipitation error
TAE: total absolute error
AAE: average absolute error
(number):  category rank

Full forecast verification and summary at the Contest/s home page.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

No worries about the forecast period, only 2" additional fell at BGR and CAR, otherwise just a few tenths at BOS, ORH and maybe a few other spots, but doubt it made much difference -- the contest was decided mostly on whether it snowed around NYC. I was expecting it to back-build in there but it failed to do so. Great start to the season let's hope it keeps up. -- Roger Smith

TQ said...

Great start...indeed; altho...looks like a quiet spell is upon us.

Thx for the snowfall report for BGR and CAR.

A lot more snow than many expected...esp @ BGM...ORH... PVD...and BDL. Those stations may have been under the deformation zone.

EDIT: corrected speeling errer.