Thursday, January 4, 2018

Winter '17 / '18 - Snow Storm #2: The Forecasts

Rookie 0
Intern 1
Journey 1
Senior 12
GOVT 1
TOT 15

All forecasts posted to the Contest/s web site.
Direct link:  http://www.newx-forecasts.com/NEWxSFC_19/storms/storm2_forecasts_04Jan18.htm

Forecasts ranked by their storm-total precipitation (STP).


BLUE ==> 25th percentile
RED ==> 75th percentile
White STP and 4cast cells range between the 25th and 75th percentile
GOVT (NWS) forecasts derived from current issuances at the deadline.

Heaviest snowfall (>= 10") consensus along and to the right of CAR - BGR - PWM - BOS - PVD - ISP - ORH - CON - PWM - CAR.  Snow cones expected at BGR and CAR.  All forecast stations get a share of the wealth; however ... stations well inland left to experience the storm/s best effects via TV and social media.

High amplitude flow regime captured by PNA > 1.  Sad sack NAO off wandering alone in the wilderness ... unimpressed by AO sibling/s dramatic cliff dive.

Median station forecasts (Excel Power Map)

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