CONTEST STATUS - Updated: SUN ... 21-JAN-18 @ 8 PM EST

Winter '17 / '18 - Snowfall Forecast Contests

19th Annual 'Regular Season'

- Interim Standings ... as of Snow Storm #3 here

- Snow Storm #4
Synoptiscope in VCP32

- Snow Storm #3
FINAL Results here

- Snow Storm #2
FINAL Results here

17th Annual 'Season-total'
Deadline for entries has passed
Forecasters' summary here

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Winter '16 / '17 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
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18th Annual 'Regular Season'
FINAL results here
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16th Annual 'Season-total'
FINAL results here

Saturday, January 6, 2018

Winter '17 / '18 - Snow Storm #2: Preliminary STP Verifications

Table of preliminary storm-total snowfall by station for THU and FRI from CDUS41 (CLI) ... CXUS51 (CF6) and ... SAUS41 (METAR) bulletins.

Exceptions:
SBY
04-JAN and 05-JAN CLI and CF6 bulletins carried 'MM' as daily snowfall at post-time.  Tipping bucket data unhelpful.

Estimated storm-total snowfall based on inverse distance weighting technique using the four closest STP reports carried in AKQPNS.  STP value subject to change pending updates to CDUS41 ... CXUS51 ... or PNS bulletins.

HYA
Estimated storm-total snowfall based on METARs @ 10:1 SLR.

Suspect SLRs at ORH ...PVD ... and BGM ... a likely consequence of the storm's high-wind conditions.  Looks like BDR applied 10:1 to derive melt-water given hinky 6- and 7-group data.

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Stations observing at least:
Trace - 27 (100% - something for everyone.  RDU 0.9" fell during pre-deadline hours)
4" - 18 (67%)
6" - 14 (52%)
8" - 14 (52%)
10" - 10 (37%)
12" - 9 (33%)
14" - 5 (19%)
16" - 4 (15%)
18" - 2 (17%)
20" - 0

Max melt-water at ISP (1.53")
CAR - 1.36"
BDR / ACY - 0.80"
BGR - 0.79"

New daily records:  13
BGR - 18.3" (8.5"; 2003)
ISP - 16" (3.8"; 1988)
PVD - 14.1" (5.7"; 1988)
BOS - 13.4" (7.9"; 1994)
ACY - 13.2" (2.5"; 1905)
CAR - 13" (10.5"; 1988)
BDL - 10.2" (8.1"; 1923)
SBY - 8.5" (0.9"; 1952)
EWR - 8.4" (4"; 1988)
BDR - 8" (5.3"; 1988)
JFK - 8" (4.9"; 1988)
ORF - 5.1" (1.2"; 1905)
RIC - 2.4" (1.6"; 1980)

Surface analysis:  18z ... 04-JAN-18
Central pressure:  950 mb
 
 Daily weather map for 04-JAN-88.
 
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Please report any errors in Comments along with a link to the correct data.
Final results expected NLT SUN evening.

1 comment:

TQ said...

SBY CF6 bulletin updated 06-JAN-18 @ 10:10 AM EST
STP: 8.3" (0.55 liquid)

http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CF6&issuedby=sby