CONTEST STATUS - Updated: SAT ... 17-FEB-18 @ 5:10 PM EST

Winter '17 / '18 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
19th Annual 'Regular Season'
- Interim Standings ... as of Snow Storm #4 here

- Snow Storm #5: 17-FEB-18
Deadline for entries has passed.
The Forecasts! here

- Snow Storm #4: 07-FEB-18
FINAL Results here

- Snow Storm #3: 17-JAN-18
FINAL Results here

17th Annual 'Season-total'
Deadline for entries has passed
Forecasters' summary here

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Winter '16 / '17 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
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18th Annual 'Regular Season'
FINAL results here

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16th Annual 'Season-total'
FINAL results here

Saturday, January 20, 2018

Winter '17 / '18 - Snow Storm #3: FINAL Results

Forecasters' station verifications and the storm summary at NEWxSFC/s home page.
http://www.newx-forecasts.com/

     
 1st - donsutherland1   
 SUMSQ:28  
 SUMSQ Z:-1.085  
 STP:5.9 (4) 
 TAE:22.5 (1) 
 AAE:0.83 (1) 
     
 2nd - TQ   
 SUMSQ:37  
 SUMSQ Z:-0.841  
 STP:2.3 (3) 
 TAE:23.0 (3) 
 AAE:0.85 (3) 
     
 3rd - Herb @MAWS   
 SUMSQ:39  
 SUMSQ Z:-0.803  
 STP:0.8 (1) 
 TAE:25.1 (4) 
 AAE:0.93 (4) 
     
 HM - Brad Yehl   
 SUMSQ:41  
 SUMSQ Z:-0.739  
 STP:6.9 (6) 
 TAE:23.0 (2) 
 AAE:0.85 (2) 
     

SUMSQ:  sum of square errors (")
SUMSQ Z:  Z-score
STP:  storm total precipitation error (")
TAE:  total absolute error (")
AAE:  average absolute error (")
(#):  category rank

Forecast by Observed Snowfall Scatter Plots for Top Forecasts
Dotted blue line below (above) solid red line ==> under (over) forecast

Station Verification Comparison of Top Forecasters

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