CONTEST STATUS - Updated: MON ... 03-SEP-18 @ 8 PM EDT

Winter '18 / '19 - Snowfall Forecast Contests

20th Annual 'Regular Season' Snowfall Forecast Contest
Season starts when flakes start flyin'

18th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest
Verification period: 01-DEC-18 thru 31-MAR-19
Deadline for entries: 11:59 PM EST ... FRI ... 30-NOV-18
Look for details on 27-OCT-18

----------------------------------------------------
Winter '17 / '18 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
----------------------------------------------------
19th Annual 'Regular Season'
FINAL results here

---
17th Annual 'Season-total'
FINAL results here

Saturday, January 20, 2018

Winter '17 / '18 - Snow Storm #3: FINAL Results

Forecasters' station verifications and the storm summary at NEWxSFC/s home page.
http://www.newx-forecasts.com/

     
 1st - donsutherland1   
 SUMSQ:28  
 SUMSQ Z:-1.085  
 STP:5.9 (4) 
 TAE:22.5 (1) 
 AAE:0.83 (1) 
     
 2nd - TQ   
 SUMSQ:37  
 SUMSQ Z:-0.841  
 STP:2.3 (3) 
 TAE:23.0 (3) 
 AAE:0.85 (3) 
     
 3rd - Herb @MAWS   
 SUMSQ:39  
 SUMSQ Z:-0.803  
 STP:0.8 (1) 
 TAE:25.1 (4) 
 AAE:0.93 (4) 
     
 HM - Brad Yehl   
 SUMSQ:41  
 SUMSQ Z:-0.739  
 STP:6.9 (6) 
 TAE:23.0 (2) 
 AAE:0.85 (2) 
     

SUMSQ:  sum of square errors (")
SUMSQ Z:  Z-score
STP:  storm total precipitation error (")
TAE:  total absolute error (")
AAE:  average absolute error (")
(#):  category rank

Forecast by Observed Snowfall Scatter Plots for Top Forecasts
Dotted blue line below (above) solid red line ==> under (over) forecast

Station Verification Comparison of Top Forecasters

No comments: