CONTEST STATUS - Updated: WED ... 31-JUL-19 @ Noon EDT

Winter '19 / '20 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
21st Annual 'Regular Season' Snowfall Forecast Contest
Contest starts once the flakes start a'flyin'

19th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest
Deadline for entries: 11:59 PM EST ... SAT ... 30-NOV-19
Verification period: 01-DEC-19 through 31-MAR-20

Winter '19 / '20 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
Winter '18 / '19 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
20th Annual 'Regular Season' Snowfall Forecast Contest
FINAL Results here

18th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest
Forecaster verification table HERE

Wednesday, March 28, 2018

Winter '17 / '18 - Regular Season Interim Standings: 6

Under the ‘two-thirds’ rule … forecasters who have entered at least SIX forecasts are included in interim standings #6.

Complete interim statistics table and chart at the Contest/s web site here (direct link)
Forecaster statistics for Winter '17 / '18 contest snow storms here (direct link)

SUMSQ errors for each contest snow storm are normalized (standardized) with a 'Z-score' ... then averaged to compute the standings. If a forecaster has issued forecasts for more than two-thirds of all snow storm contests ... then Z-scores from their 'best two-thirds' forecasts are used to calculate the Interim and Final standings.

Similar idea as dropping the lowest quiz score before computing the final grade.

No comments: