Coastal Teaser #4

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Wave forms on tail end of strong baroclinic zone courtesy arctic frontal boundary across the GOM. Dynamics from hot STJ provides the UVM.

Forecast problem is whether the storm will chug harmlessly out to sea or be held closer to the coast from the fx of a shortening wavelength.

Trying to forecast the timing and intensity of the numerous short-waves rotating around the PV is like playing roulette...even at shorter time ranges.

Sooner or later...something good has to come from the combination of the ern 2/3 of the CONUS flooded and continualy refreshed with arctic air and a hi-amp...short wavelength pattern.