Friday, April 13, 2007

Contest # 6 - Call for Forecasts


Who/d have thought there/d be a 6th Contest storm this year…but here we are looking at a rabid…late season nor’easter with a halfway decent snowfall potential for inland stations over NNE.

Given this storm is ~48 hours away from affecting the first forecast station …there/s a possibility this event will not live up to its advance NWP billing. Saturday/s 12z model runs may force the cancellation of Contest # 6.

Entry Deadline: Saturday...14 April 2007 @ 10:30 PM EDT.

Verification begins 12:01 AM EDT Sunday...15 April 2007 and ends 11:59 PM EDT Tuesday...17 April 2007.

Your forecast must be entered via the Contest/s web site. Follow the link to ‘Enter Storm Forecast.’

All forecasts will be posted to the NE_Wx Google Group by the Contest Administrator before 11 PM EDT Saturday...14 April 2007 and to the Contest web site by Sunday afternoon.

Forecasters will need to register once before entering...even if they were registered last year. Registration is simple...requiring only a user name and password. If you provide a valid e-mail address...a copy of your forecast will be sent to you immediately after your entry is submitted. Please ensure your browser is enabled to accept first-party cookies.

Updates and announcements are posted on the Contest/s web log.

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The NE.Wx Snowfall Forecast Contest (NEWxSFC) is a multi-month event that continues into late March or early April. In general...contests are held whenever a decent... synoptic-scale storm rears its head and threatens at least a half-dozen forecast stations with more than nuisance snowfall amounts. Forecasters are called to post their 'storm total' snowfall predictions...on deadline...for 27 NWS / FAA observing stations scattered about New England and the Mid-Atlantic regions.

You can find the Contest Rules and additional information about Error Scoring... current monthly snowfall climatology from NCDC...daily CPC teleconnection indices... daily NESDIS N-Hemi snow cover...and NWS Daily Climate Bulletins (CDUS41) at the NEWxSFC web site.

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