CONTEST STATUS - Updated: WED ... 13-DEC-17 @ 8:30 PM EST

Winter '17 / '18 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
19th Annual 'Regular Season'
Snow Storm #1
Synoptiscope in VCP32

17th Annual 'Season-total'
Deadline for entries has passed
Forecasters' summary here

----------------------------------------------------
Winter '16 / '17 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
----------------------------------------------------
18th Annual 'Regular Season'
FINAL results here
---
16th Annual 'Season-total'
FINAL results here

Wednesday, January 2, 2008

Contest # 3 - Final Results

Chief Forecaster Donsutherland1 finished in 1st place for contest snow storm #3. This is his second 1st place finish this year.

No only did he have the lowest SUMSQ error...he hit the trifecta with top honors for Total Absolute Error (30% improvement over Consensus) and Average Absolute Error (1.16").

Donsutherland1/s STP forecast for 60" had an error of 0.95" (total observed snowfall @ all stations less total forecast snowfall @ all stations). The R-square statistic of 0.837 shows his forecast accounted for 84% of the observed snowfall/s variability.

Congratulations...Don!

Full forecast verification and contest summary @ the web site.

No comments: