CONTEST STATUS - Updated: SAT ... 14-APR-18 @ 9 PM EDT

Winter '17 / '18 - Snowfall Forecast Contests

19th Annual 'Regular Season' Snowfall Forecast Contest
- FINAL Results here
1st Place: Brad Yehl
2nd Place: Don Sutherland
3rd Place: NWS ER WFOs
HM: Herb @MAWS

17th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest
- FINAL Results here
1st Place: Don Sutherland
2nd Place: Mitchel Volk
3rd Place: Brad Yehl
Climo: 5th place

Winter '16 / '17 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
18th Annual 'Regular Season'
FINAL results here

16th Annual 'Season-total'
FINAL results here

Thursday, January 17, 2008

Interim Standings

There have been five Contests to date. Under the ‘two-thirds’ rule…forecasters who have entered at least four forecasts are included in this interim summary.

Click to enlarge

Donsutherland1 re-claims 1st place after five snowstorms with a 'best 4 out of 5' average SUMSQ Z-Score of -1.134.
Shanabe (-0.982) dropped one click to second.
TQ (-0.589) holds on to 3rd place.
Raven (-0.514) on the strength of winning Contest # 5...jumped from sixth to fourth.

Data table @ the Contest web site.

The forecasters listed below have issued three forecasts to date. They will be included in the next interim summary if they enter a forecast for Contest #6.
Mitchel Volk
SUMSQ errors for each contest snow storm are normalized with a 'Z-score'...then averaged to compute the standings. Forecasters who have entered at least 2/3 of all snow storm contests are included in the standings.

If a forecaster has participated in more than two-thirds of all snow storm contests...then Z-scores from their 'best two-thirds' forecasts are used to calculate interim and final standings. Same idea as dropping the lowest quiz score before the final grade is computed.

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