CONTEST STATUS - Updated: WED ... 13-DEC-17 @ 8:30 PM EST

Winter '17 / '18 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
19th Annual 'Regular Season'
Snow Storm #1
Synoptiscope in VCP32

17th Annual 'Season-total'
Deadline for entries has passed
Forecasters' summary here

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Winter '16 / '17 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
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18th Annual 'Regular Season'
FINAL results here
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16th Annual 'Season-total'
FINAL results here

Friday, January 14, 2011

Winter '10 / '11 - Snow Storm #3 - Final Results

12z 12-JAN-11 
1st - emoran
SUMSQ: 423.59
SUMSQ Z: -1.115
STP: 1.20 (2)
TAE: 76.80 (2)
AAE: 2.84 (2)

2nd - donsutherland1
SUMSQ: 430.73
SUMSQ Z: -1.091
STP: 39.75 (6)
TAE: 72.35 (1)
AAE: 2.68 (1)

3rd - Donald Rosenfeld
SUMSQ: 430.92
SUMSQ Z: -1.090
STP: 4.40 (3)
TAE: 84.70 (5)
AAE: 3.14 (5)
00z 13-JAN-11

Honorable Mention - Brad Yehl
SUMSQ: 484.58
SUMSQ Z: -0.908
STP: 42.15 (7)
TAE: 84.05 (4)
AAE: 3.11 (4)

SUMSQ: sum of square errors
STP: storm-total precipitation error
TAE: total absolute error
AAE: average absolute error
(rank)

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0.19" SUMSQ error difference between 2nd and 3rd place forecasts.

Mark Hofmann came within 0.1" of the observed storm-total snowall (214.9") for all stations.

Full forecast verification and summary at the Contest/s home page.

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