Winter '10 / '11 - Snow Storm #5 - Final Results
SUMSQ: 327.44
SUMSQ Z: -1.369
STP: 5.00 (1)
TAE: 70.70 (2)
AAE: 2.83 (4)
2nd - Mitchel Volk
SUMSQ: 377.41
SUMSQ Z: -1.086
STP: 38.40 (5)
TAE: 73.00 (4)
AAE: 2.70 (2)
3rd - donsutherland1
SUMSQ: 436.72
SUMSQ Z: -0.750
STP: 45.65 (8)
TAE: 70.15 (1)
AAE: 2.70 (1)
Honorable mention - ejbauers
SUMSQ: 448.55
SUMSQ Z: -0.683
STP: 55.55 (9)
TAE: 71.65 (3)
AAE: 2.76 (3)
SUMSQ: sum of square errors
STP: storm-total precipitation error
TAE: total absolute error
AAE: average absolute error
(rank)
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Full forecast verification and summary at the Contest/s home page.
Posts
2 comments:
Congrats to the winners here, this was a tough storm to forecast.
Just wondering, do we have any current figures for total snowfall at the various contest locations?
I have the feeling we are all going to bust way low on most of them. -- Roger Smith
Hard to predict snow totals when TSSNs are observed. Without deep moisture convection...this would have a been a run-of-the mill event.
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For the season-total contest..I get the monthly snowfall totals from the CLM...
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/productview.php?pil=CLMABE&max=61
Month-to-date the totals in the CLI...
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/productview.php?pil=CLIABE&max=61
and CF6 bulletins.
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/productview.php?pil=CF6ABE&max=61
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