CONTEST STATUS - Updated: SAT ... 14-APR-18 @ 9 PM EDT

Winter '17 / '18 - Snowfall Forecast Contests

19th Annual 'Regular Season' Snowfall Forecast Contest
- FINAL Results here
1st Place: Brad Yehl
2nd Place: Don Sutherland
3rd Place: NWS ER WFOs
HM: Herb @MAWS

17th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest
- FINAL Results here
1st Place: Don Sutherland
2nd Place: Mitchel Volk
3rd Place: Brad Yehl
Climo: 5th place

Winter '16 / '17 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
18th Annual 'Regular Season'
FINAL results here

16th Annual 'Season-total'
FINAL results here

Monday, January 24, 2011

Winter '10 / '11 - Snow Storm #4 - Final Results - UPDATED

The final results for Snow Storm #4 have been updated to include a forecast issued after the deadline.  Technical difficulties with the Contest's web site were experienced by Senior forecaster Mitch Volk Friday evening around 9:30 PM.  These difficulties prevented him from issuing a forecast before the deadline.

When I learned of this problem...I asked Mitch to send me the forecast he tried unsuccessfully to enter.  His forecast was included and verified along with the other forecasts.  Forecaster skill scores have been re-computed and posted to the Contest's web site.

Mitch has participated in the NEWxSFC every winter since its inception in 1999...issuing a timely forecast for almost every snow storm and every season-total contest.  Under the circumstances...accepting his forecast after the deadline is the right thing to do.
1st - Brad Yehl
SUMSQ: 75.76
SUMSQ Z: -1.032
STP: 7.50 (4)
TAE: 26.50 (2)
AAE: 1.10 (3)

Bride's Maid - Shillelagh
SUMSQ: 79.91
SUMSQ Z: -0.976
STP: 0.80 (2)
TAE: 26.90 (3)
AAE: 1.08 (2)

3rd - TQ
SUMSQ: 95.25
SUMSQ Z: -0.770
STP: 11.50 (7)
TAE: 27.90 (4)
AAE: 1.16 (4)

Honorable Mention - donsutherland1
SUMSQ: 100.19
SUMSQ Z: -0.703
STP: 17.60 (9)
TAE: 24.50 (1)
AAE: 1.07 (1)

SUMSQ: sum of square errors
STP: storm-total precipitation error
TAE: total absolute error
AAE: average absolute error

No comments: