CONTEST STATUS - Last update: FRI ... 14-JUL-17 @ 8:30 PM EDT

Winter '17 / '18 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
19th Annual 'Regular Season'
Season starts when the first flakes start a'flyin'

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17th Annual 'Season-total'
Entries accepted between 01-NOV-17 and 30-NOV-17
Verification period: 01-DEC-17 through 31-MAR-18

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Winter '16 / '17 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
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18th Annual 'Regular Season'
FINAL results here
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16th Annual 'Season-total'
FINAL results here

Monday, January 24, 2011

Winter '10 / '11 - Snow Storm #4 - Final Results - UPDATED

The final results for Snow Storm #4 have been updated to include a forecast issued after the deadline.  Technical difficulties with the Contest's web site were experienced by Senior forecaster Mitch Volk Friday evening around 9:30 PM.  These difficulties prevented him from issuing a forecast before the deadline.

When I learned of this problem...I asked Mitch to send me the forecast he tried unsuccessfully to enter.  His forecast was included and verified along with the other forecasts.  Forecaster skill scores have been re-computed and posted to the Contest's web site.

Mitch has participated in the NEWxSFC every winter since its inception in 1999...issuing a timely forecast for almost every snow storm and every season-total contest.  Under the circumstances...accepting his forecast after the deadline is the right thing to do.
 
1st - Brad Yehl
SUMSQ: 75.76
SUMSQ Z: -1.032
STP: 7.50 (4)
TAE: 26.50 (2)
AAE: 1.10 (3)

Bride's Maid - Shillelagh
SUMSQ: 79.91
SUMSQ Z: -0.976
STP: 0.80 (2)
TAE: 26.90 (3)
AAE: 1.08 (2)

3rd - TQ
SUMSQ: 95.25
SUMSQ Z: -0.770
STP: 11.50 (7)
TAE: 27.90 (4)
AAE: 1.16 (4)

Honorable Mention - donsutherland1
SUMSQ: 100.19
SUMSQ Z: -0.703
STP: 17.60 (9)
TAE: 24.50 (1)
AAE: 1.07 (1)

SUMSQ: sum of square errors
STP: storm-total precipitation error
TAE: total absolute error
AAE: average absolute error
(rank)

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