Winter '11 / '12 - Coastal Teaser #1
Bit of a disagreement between us and them about next Wednesday/s weather along the eastern CONUS...
Both models were in fair agreement in the short range but then diverged as the ECMWF deepened a GOM Low which popped a high amplitude PNA-type ridge. OTOH...GFS did not close the door to the flood of PAC air into the western CONUS and maintained a hi-index flow regime across the lower 48.
Suspect GooFuS will catch up eventually.
POSTSCRIPT: The 12z Canadian and ECMWF are in excellent agreement through 144 hours in their depiction of a full latitude trof.
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| GFS: 27-DEC 12z VT: 04-JAN-12 12z |
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| ECMWF: 27-DEC 12z VT: 04-JAN-12 12z |
Suspect GooFuS will catch up eventually.
POSTSCRIPT: The 12z Canadian and ECMWF are in excellent agreement through 144 hours in their depiction of a full latitude trof.
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