CONTEST STATUS - Updated: SAT ... 14-APR-18 @ 9 PM EDT

Winter '17 / '18 - Snowfall Forecast Contests

19th Annual 'Regular Season' Snowfall Forecast Contest
- FINAL Results here
1st Place: Brad Yehl
2nd Place: Don Sutherland
3rd Place: NWS ER WFOs
HM: Herb @MAWS

17th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest
- FINAL Results here
1st Place: Don Sutherland
2nd Place: Mitchel Volk
3rd Place: Brad Yehl
Climo: 5th place

Winter '16 / '17 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
18th Annual 'Regular Season'
FINAL results here

16th Annual 'Season-total'
FINAL results here

Tuesday, December 27, 2011

Winter '11 / '12 - Coastal Teaser #1

Bit of a disagreement between us and them about next Wednesday/s weather along the eastern CONUS...

GFS:  27-DEC  12z
VT:  04-JAN-12 12z
ECMWF:  27-DEC  12z
VT:  04-JAN-12 12z
Both models were in fair agreement in the short range but then diverged as the ECMWF deepened a GOM Low which popped a high amplitude PNA-type ridge.  OTOH...GFS did not close the door to the flood of PAC air into the western CONUS and maintained a hi-index flow regime across the lower 48.

Suspect GooFuS will catch up eventually.

POSTSCRIPT:  The 12z Canadian and ECMWF are in excellent agreement through 144 hours in their depiction of a full latitude trof.

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