Thursday, December 1, 2011

Winter '11 / '12 - Season-total Snowfall Forecast Contest - Forecast Summary

Updated below.

Ten Nine forecasters.
Welcome back veteran forecasters and welcome aboard to Rookie forecaster Chris Tingus.


Blue (red) shading indicates the 25th (75th) percentile in the above table.
PORN is the Period of Record Normal.
Individual forecasts and summary statistics at the Contest/s web site.


Consensus...as a percent of climatology...favors above (below) normal snowfall across northern (southern) forecast stations.  Closer to normal amounts expected for southern New England and the Mid-Atlantic.


Consensus and the min-max range of forecasts.

UPDATE:
NEWxSFC received a late entry which was submitted in good faith and accepted.  The station-by-station forecasts and summary page at the Contest/s web site has been updated.

4 comments:

Anonymous said...

Thanks for hosting us and good luck everyone. -- Roger Smith

TQ said...

Good to see Roger return this season to defend his title.

Pls send some cold air down south when you get the chance.

Anonymous said...

Thanks, will do what little I can on that request ... got an e-mail that I tried to answer but don't think it went through, but I have no problem with the request for a late entry. -- Roger Smith

TQ said...

Thanks for weighing in on the late entry.

There's something about using a mailing list in the BCC field that caused problems for people to reply.