Tuesday, February 13, 2007

Contest # 1 - The Forecasts


Forecasters: 19
New: 8
Veterans: 11

Welcome to all the new folks and welcome back to the old timers. Good luck to all.


The consensus heavy snow (12"+) axis runs from BGM - BTV - CAR - CON - BGM.

All individual forecasts have been posted to the NEWxSFC web site. Follow the link to 'Latest Forecasts.' The forecasts are ranked from minimum to maximum storm total snowfall (STP) for all stations.

Minimum STP: 94" - jefcled
Maximum STP: 536" - joesco
Average STP: 186"
10th percentile: 115"
90th percentile: 256"

Two entries were rejected b/c the more than 95% of the stations had zero as the forecast snowfall. One entry was rejected b/c it was received outside the grace period.

Verification snowfall amounts will be posted Friday evening. They are considered preliminary and subject to change / challenge for 24 hours.

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